Last Post of the Month/blog will be back October 31st, October record 32-22 (108-41 overall)

   Its that time of the month again. I really hate to end the blog for October on such a low note, but I'm not aware of any good streaks of my followers. So traffic is pretty low right now, and I don't think there is really a point. It was a rough month seemingly for most people. Last I checked, the leader was only at a W21. Not trying to discredit anyone or anything, because that is a great streak, its just a little lower than it has has been the last 5 or 6 months, considering its near the end of the month. With Torino choking to Gubbio today, this blog finished 32-22 for October, which is hardly spectacular compared to August (45-10) and Septeber (31-9). I had more losses this month than the other two combined. This has probably been the worst month this year for me on a personal note as well. I did manage a W9, but with an October record of 38-27 (EDIT* 41-28 to end the month), it doesn't get you far.

   Hopefully next month will be a lot more successful. Enjoy your next few days off, and may you be free of Streak for the Cash controlling your life. Until November 1st that is...

Thanks for following, be sure to check back November 1st for a fresh set of picks, as well as a fresh month.

Also, if you are on blogger, be sure to become a follower to help interact and keep up with this blog.


Overall record (August through October) - 108-41


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October 24th Picks

October 23rd Pick results:


Cleveland Browns- Win (6-3)
Steelers: Winning Margin or Tie- Win (12-4)
Green Bay wins by double digits- Loss (won by 6)


Record for day 2-1
Record for month 32-21

I will have more picks up tomorrow, but here is one I like right now.

Pick #1 Torino win

   That is, I think I like Torino to win. Oddly, even with Torino at the very top of their table, and Gubbio at the very bottom, Torino still isn't as heavily favored as you think. I'm really not sure why right now, I havn't really seen anything significant with Torino as far as injuries or suspentions go with their squad. If most everybody gets played, they should be perfectly fine in this match. Maybe I'm just overthinking, but either way I like Torino. Torino is 8-2-0 right now with a 10 goal difference and has scored 26 goals in just 10 games. Gubbio is on the other end of the spectrum, with a 1-4-5 record, -11 goal difference and just 7 goals. I just dont see what there is to dislike. Other than the fact that its on Streak for the Cash, so it will probably be close (Just kidding. I hope...). Typically games that have a home team with a draw option are pretty close, but I just cant go against a pick that features the best against the worst. This is like David and Goliath, except David seems to be tied to a chair. I think Torino will probably pull it off.

October 23rd Picks

October 22nd Results:


West Brom win or draw- Win (won 2-1)
Auburn vs. LSU AOR- Loss (LSU won 45-10)
Texas A&M winning margin- Loss (by one point, won 33-17, winning margin was 16 but needed 17)
USC win or single digit loss- Win (31-17)
36 yards or more (longest td of 2nd half)- Win (58 yards)

Record for day 3-2

Blog record for month 30-20

Sorry I never wrote anything up for USC or 36 yards or more. I just never got around to it. I have a few today I will get up with pretty short writeups. I'm going to take it easy today.

Pick #1 Cleveland Browns

This one goes up just for the sake of a noon pick. With the Browns at home though, I think they should take this. A note for both teams; Seahawks QB Tavaris Jackson is probable, as well as RB Peyton Hillis from Cleveland.

Pick #2 Steelers Winning Margin or tie

  The only reason I'm putting this up is because as far as yards allowed, the Steelers rank 1st in the NFL only giving up about 157 passing yards a game. Obviously the Steelers have a great pass defense, so will it be enough to hold Fitzgerald? Maybe. The other concern is whether the Steelers can even win. The Steelers are 4-2, with a very impressive 38-17 win over the Titans back on October 9th. The Cardinals have not won since their season opener against the struggling Carolina Panthers. Fitzgerald is averaging about 5 catches a game. I'm not sure what that means going against a pass defense like the Steelers, but logic says he will probably get about 5 tops, unless they throw it to him most of the game. if the Steelers can win by at least a touchdown I think they will be fine. One thing that concerns me, is the NFL's tendancy to have such close games no matter who is playing. I think the best odds go to Pittsburg though.

Pick #3 Green Bay Packers win by double digits

  Packers are hot right now. Sitting at 6-0 and going up against a bad pass defense, I think they should win by double digits. Also, the Vikings have struggled big time in their passing game. Only averaging about 168 yards a game through the air. AP is about all they have, and that may be all the Packers need to worry about.

More to come...

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October 22nd Picks

Pick #1 West Brom win or draw

   West Brom will go into this game 2-2-4 with a -3 goal difference and 9 goals this season. Villa is 2-5-1 with 1 goal difference and 10 goals. Villa's team is a draw machine. So far at home this season, they are 2-2-0, with thier only 2 home wins coming to Blackburn and Wigan; the two worst team in their league. West Brom is a lot better than either team (Wigan and Blackburn). I just don't see how this is so one-sided on Villa's part with the pickers. It just rose from the 80s % to the 90s %. Should be pretty 50/50, but I have been hurt pretty bad by the draw option lately on Streak for the Cash, so I have to take West Brom for a draw. Should end a draw or maybe a one point Villa win. West Brom is my pick.

Pick #2 #20 Auburn Tigers vs #1 LSU Tigers; Any Other Result

  Auburn is still a pretty good football team even after losing key players from last year. Even with them going into a hostile enviroment like LSU's Tiger Stadiun, I really think Auburn can keep it within 20. True they lost by 24 a couple weeks ago on the road to then ranked #10 Arkansas, but check the week before. They beat then-ranked #10 South Carolina 16-13, giving the Gamecocks their only loss this season. Plus, LSU is without leading rusher Spencer Ware and defensive star Tyrann Mathieu due to suspentions. LSU and Auburn is also a pretty big rivalry. I don't think Auburn wants to embarrass themselves on national tv. Rivalries tend to be close. I think LSU wins by about 14.

Pick #3 Texas A&M winning margin

   Iowa State has lost to Texas, Baylor and Missouri by a combined scored of 138-57. Texas A&M (4-1, 2-1 in Big 12), has lost to Oklahama State by 1 point (30-29) and a last touchdown loss to Arkansas 42-38. Texas A&M is a high scoring team, and Iowa State ranks 116th out of 120 teams in points allowed. Texas A&M should be ok.

Pick #4 USC win or single digit loss

Pick #5 36 yards or more

More Coming...

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October 21st Picks

October 20th picks results:

Jeff Overton- Win
Lazio win- Loss (1-1 draw)
Philadelphia Union win or draw- Loss (0-1)
Arizona Wildcats- Win (48-12)

Record for day 2-2
Record for month 26-16

  My soccer picks have had some pretty crazy twists to them the last few days. Bayern scored an own goal a couple days ago giving Napoli their only goal in a 1-1 draw, Arsenal scored a last minute goal yesterday to win 1-0, and today Lazio gave up a goal 30 seconds after scoring in a 1-1 draw to Zurich. Pretty ironic games. All lead to reds for me. Gotta love (hate) Streak for the Cash :p

Pick #1 Werder Bremen win (sorry for the late notice)

    This game starts in 20 minutes, so hopefully most of you will be able to read this in time. Werner Bremen is currently off to a pretty good start this season at 5-1-3, 4 goal difference and 16 goals this season, while Augsburg has struggled after a 1-4-4 record, -9 goal difference and just 7 goals going into this game. Werder Bremen ranks 5^th right now in their Bundesliga table, and Augsburg is near the bottom at 16^th out of 18 teams. The thing that concerns me most, is that Bremen has struggled winning on the road (1-1-3 in road games), whereas at home they have dominated pretty well (4-0-1) in home games). Good news for Bremen though, is that Augsburg has yet to win at home (0-2-2 in home games). So I have to roll with Bremen just because they are the better team thus far. Bremen is my pick.

Pick #2 Rutgers Scarlet Knights

The Scarlet Knights will go into this game 5-1, 2-0 in the Big East, after a close call against Navy last weekend, in a 21-20 win. Right now they are looking better than Louisville (2-4, 0-1 Big East), despite some ugly wins to mediocre teams. Louisville's only wins have come to Murray State in a 21-9 victory, and a 24-17 win over Kentucky (2-4, 0-3 in SEC). Both teams have top 20 defenses as far as points allowed, with Louisville ranked 16^th in points against and Rutgers ranking 11^th. Louisville is 1-2 so far at home this year, with their lone home win coming from Murray State. The Scarlet Knights are 1-1 on the road, with a 22-24 loss to North Carolina, and a 19-16 overtime win at Syracuse. Rutgers has not looked pretty on the road, but they have found ways to win so far this year. I don't think this will be a blowout or anything, but I like the Rutgers to win in probably a close one.

Pick #3 Geno Smith 155 yards or more passing yards in the first half

West Virginia ranks 3^rd in the nation in passing yards per game, averaging about 380 passing yards a game. Syracuse ranks 111^th in pass defense out of 120 teams, giving up about 293 yards a game. Over looks pretty good.

Thanks for following and hopefully I do better than I have lately,


Streakhelper

October 20th Picks

October 19th Results:

Marseille- Loss (by a last minute goal)
Toronto Maple Leafs- Win (4-3)

Record for day 1-1
Record for month 24-14


 Still been a pretty rough month. I will get all my picks up around noon for tomorrow, but here is a pick I really like...

Pick #1 Jeff Overton lower score or tie

   Much better golfer, but add the tie option, and it makes for a solid pick.

Pick #2 Lazio win

   Another brief preview, but with the way Lazio (3-2-1, 2 goal difference, 11 goals in their table) has been playing lately, its a little hard to go against them. Their only recent losses came to a very solid Sporting Lisbon team who is currently 4-2-1 with a 5 goal difference and 14 goals in their table, and also lost to Genoa 1-2 about a month ago. Zurich is 3-1-6, 0 goal difference and 10 goals in their Super League table. With them having the draw option and them being at home, it might get interesting. But overall, I have more reason to go with Lazio as long as they play a good and healthy lineup.

Pick #3 Philadelphia Union win or draw

The reason so many are going with the New York Red Bulls, is because they still need a win to make the playoffs. With them at home, it isn’t out of the question, but lets look a little deeper into the matchup. Philadelphia is 11-15-7, 9 goal difference and has scored 48 goals this season; compared to the NY Red Bulls 9-16-8 record, 5 goal difference and 43 goals. These teams are pretty evenly matched, but a slight edge has to be given to the Union overall. The Union have not lost in 8 games, and as comparable as the Red Bulls are to the union, The Red Bulls will be without their leading scorer Thierry Henry, who has scored 14 of New York's goals this season. The Red Bulls next top scorer is Luke Rogers, who has scored 9 goals. So taking Henry out of the mix will definitely not help the them. Also, Philadelphia still has a little to play for despite already qualifying for the playoffs. Philadelphia can still play for a higher seed and even if the Red Bulls draw, they still have a shot. So this game isn't a win or die scenario for New York. This game should at least end in a draw for the Union.

Pick #4 Arizona Wildcats

Such a tough game to call, but I have to say the slight edge goes to Arizona. Mainly since they are at home. Both teams have lost to some very strong opponents. Arizona (1-5, 0-4 in PAC 12) has lost to Oklahoma State, Stanford, Oregon and USC (5-1); all of which were in the top 10 at the time besides USC. They did however, have a pretty embarrassing 27-37 loss to Oregon State. UCLA (3-3, 2-1 PAC 12) has lost to Texas, Stanford and Houston who is currently undefeated and ranked #19 in the nation. They have not beat anyone impressive, but one notable win did come to Oregon State who beat Arizona 37-27. UCLA has no major injuries to worry about, but defensive back Jamie Graham is questionable (knee injury). Arizona free safety Adam Hall has been declared out for the season after re-injuring his knee as well (ACL). Arizona has played without him a good amount of the season though. I think Arizona wins in a close game. Their passing attack is really all they have, and hopefully they can get it going early and throughout the game.

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October 19th Picks (More Tomorrow)

October 18th Results


Bayern Munich to win- Loss (1-1 draw, Scored a goal for Napoli, as well as a goal for themselve 2 minutes into the game)
Dallas Stars- Win (won 3-2)
Monterrey win or draw- Win (won 2-1)


Record for day 2-1
Record for Month 23-13


 I will get a lot more up in the afternoon, but here is what I have for now.


Pick #1 Marseille win or draw

  Marseille has a lot to play for in this match. A win would clinch them a top spot in their group, and with them at home and the draw option I think they are the pick. They look aweful on paper (1-6-3,  -2 goal difference and 9 goals), but Arsenal has struggled as well (3-1-4,  -5 goal difference and 10 goals). Plus, Arsenal has some significant injuries; Bacary Sagna, Kieran Gibbs, and Thomas Vermaelen (all good defenders) are out. Similar to the Monterrey pick, I sense sheep. Marseille to me looks like a better pick than Arsenal. Win or lose, I'll take my chances with them...

Pick #2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto (3-0-1) will go into this game hosting the struggling Winnipeg Jets (1-3-0) at home. You have to go with Toronto right now at this point in the season. They have played exceptionally well and I don't see any reason why they would slow down tonight. Toronto outranks the Jets majorly in every category. Plus with them at home, I just don't see how you could pick against them. I don't feel like I really need to write a whole lot to convince you. Toronto all the way.

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October 18th Picks

**** I'm trying to get about 500 ad clicks by the end of the month for advertisement. So if you guys dont mind clicking an ad or two that interests you (picture ads preferably), I would appreciate it. No need to go crazy clicking ads. It helps show sponsors I bring good traffic to my blog, and improves my chances of more promotion. Thanks


Pick #1 Bayern Munich Win

   Bayern has been a very productive team thus far this season. On paper so far, Bayern is 7-1-1 with a 24 goal difference and 22 goals this season. Napoli is 3-1-2 with a 5 goal difference and 10 goals. It always concerns me when a mediocre home team has the draw option, but with them going up against a team like Bayern, it makes me feel a little better. Bayern has been on fire lately. They have not allowed a goal since August, and averages a little over 2 goals a game. If they can get a couple goals they should have this in the bag. I really have a feeling this will be closer than people think, but hopefully I'm wrong. Bayern for the win.

***Injuries
Bayern's midfeilder Arjen Robben will not play today.
Napoli's forward Goran Pandev is probable for today's match (shouldn't be to much to worry about for Napoli).

  Pick #2 Dallas Stars (NHL Hockey)

This game may be closer than people think as well. Dallas looks a lot better on paper (4-1-0), but Columbus (0-4-1) has had some very close calls against very good teams. They lost 3-2 to the Predators, 3-2 to Vancouver, and 3-2 to a very good Colorado team (5-1-0). Columbus played well against Dallas on the road last Saturday in their 4-2 loss, keeping it close for most of the game, but fell short in the end. With them at home, I wonder if it may be another story. Despite not having any wins this season, they gave Colorado a scare at home, as well as Nashville and Vancouver. Could they be due a win? Possibly, but if you want to go by paper, Dallas is the pick. Their Defense has been stellar so far; ranking 9^th in goals against, which has helped their struggling offense who ranks 20^th only averaging about 2 goals a game. Columbus has struggled in every category, yet, they have kept pace with some good teams. If Dallas was at home, you would have to call this a lock, but with them on the road, it needs to be considered a good pick. I can't justify this a lock, but I have to say Dallas looks good overall.

Pick #3 Monterrey win or draw

I won't write a lot about this game, but Monterrey is pretty favored and they have the draw option. Though Monterrey just needs 1 goal to advance, Seattle Sounders is sitting out 9 players due to yellow cards. Talk about sheep... I'm not sure why so many are going with Seattle.

***NOTE: I was going to write about Moscow, but apparently they have a few injuries that evens the pick out a little. So I'm going to pass...

I will get more up if I can get enough valid clicks, I see a couple more picks I like

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October 18th Picks will be up tomorrow morning

I will get October 18th picks up tomorrow morning around 10 to 11am like today. Tomorrow looks like it may be a pretty promising day.

Goodnight and good luck tomorrow

Streakhelper

October 17th results

24 points or less- Win (10 total second half points)

Record for day 1-0

Record for month 21-12

The coin flippers (random picks) 1-5 <-------- This is why I don't write about every pick... haha

October 17th Picks

  There really isn't a lot to pick today that looks safe. If you have a streak of 10 or more you may want to skip the day unless you really feel sure about something. You still have 2 weeks though before the end of the month so missing a day shouldn't hurt you. Today I'm going to do something a little different, by listing all my choices for today's picks after my favorite since a lot of you ask a lot about other picks. Here is the pick that looks the best of the worst (in my opinion)...

Pick #1 24 points or fewer scored in the second half

  I need to look at how the first half pans out, but so far this pick looks pretty good. The Jets have an outstanding passing defense, ranking 5th in the NFL, allowing about 203 passing yards a game. Rush defense for the Jets has been another story as they rank 28th giving up about 135 yards a game. The Dolphins have a pretty mediocre defnese (31st in pass defense, 13th in rush defense), but with the Jets horrible offense, they may be ok. The Jets rank 22nd in passing yards (221 a game) and 31st in rushing yards (76 a game). Still we have to see how the first half goes, but at a glance I would go 24 or under.

My other picks for the day (the coin-flippers)

FC Copenhagen Win- FC is 9-2-0 with a 14 goal difference and 29 goals. AC Horsens is 4-4-3 with a 4pt goal difference and 16 goals this season. FC has only drawn twice, and beat Horsens 1-0 on the road.

Osasuna win or draw- If Osasuna was at home I think they would win outright. Still, I like the draw option.

Toronto Maple Leafs- Tough to call, but Toronto just because they are at home.

Miami Dolphins Single Digit Loss- I flipped a coin, it landed on heads... so single digit loss. Plus both teams are aweful.

First score of the MNF game (NFL football)- Flip your own coin. Not sure I can decide.

Nashville Predators-

October 17th Picks will be up tomorrow morning

 I will get October 17th picks up late tomorrow morning (around 10 to 11am)

October 16th Results

Aaron Rogers 3 TDs or more- Win (3 exactly)
Tom Brady throws for more yards than Romo- Loss (Romo 317, Brady 289)
Chivas USA Win, Draw, lose by 1- Win (lost 1-0)

Record for day 2-1
Record for month 20-12

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October 16th Picks

Pick #1 Aaron Rogers throws for 3 touchdowns or more (NFL football)

The Packers barely run it, and usually rely on Rogers to make their big plays. He already has 14 touchdown passes in his first 5 games this season. There is really not a lot to say. With the Rams having such a poor defense, I really think Rogers can edge out 3 or 4 touchdown passes today. I have a lot of confidence in this pick, and I will probably risk my streak on it.

Pick #2 Tom Brady records more passing yards than Tony Romo (NFL football)

It seems like SM is feeling pretty generous with some of today's QB picks. Romo has looked excellent this season, but looking at the stats, Brady is your best bet. He (Brady) struggled against Oakland back in week 4, throwing for 226 yards and 2 touchdowns (not that thats bad, just for Tom Brady, you would typically expect more). In every other game however, he has thrown for well over 300+ yards. 321 yards against the Jets last week, 387 yards against Buffalo in week 3, 423 yards against San Diego in week 2, and 517 yards in an incredible performance against Miami in the season opener. His passing yards have been dropping a little since the beginning of the year, but he has still put up solid numbers.

Now here is the catch/break for Romo; New England has the worst pass defense in the NFL so far, giving up about 326 yards a game through the air. And that is where this prop loses it “lock” status. Brady is by far a much better quarterback, but Romo can be very productive as well. Add the element of the worst pass defense in the NFL, and it could be a rough pick for Brady pickers. In 4 games, Romo has thrown for 1,273 yards (passing yards in games; 342 week 1, 345 week 2, 255 week 3, 331week 4).

Now the break for Brady and Brady pickers; is that Romo is probable for todays game. No start for Romo and the pick gets pushed. If he does start there is the risk of him playing gimped up and underperforming.

At the end of the day though, I would take Brady. With him at home in a comfortable environment, Brady should be pretty relaxed. Plus if Romo is still pretty hurt, he more than likely won't play to his full potential. When Brady is relaxed, he usually catches fire.

Pick #3 Chivas USA win, draw or lose by 1 (MLS Soccer)

The LA Galaxy will go into this game resting most of their starters. LA may have them out at the beginning of the game, but I don't see LA playing starters for to long. LA has accomplished everything it needs to for the regular season, and has more to worry about in upcoming matches. They lost 0-2 in their last game to the mediocre NY Red Bulls as a result of limiting starters playing time, like today.

Chivas USA is 8-12-12 with 1pt goal difference, and has scored 36 goals this year. LA is 18-10-4 with an impressive 21 goal difference and 64 goals this season. LA is a much better team, but resting starters really brings them down to Chivas USA's level. Even if it was Chivas USA win or draw I would consider it. But giving them that 1 goal cushion really makes me feel a lot more comfortable with this pick. Chivas USA looks like the pick.

**EDIT
 Another thing I forgot to mention is that this is not even a home game for LA. Chivas USA and the Galaxy both share the same stadium. Consider it a neutral site.

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October 15th Picks

Pick #1 South Carolina Gamecocks

  The #15 ranked Gamecocks (5-1) will go into Mississippi today to face Mississipi State (3-3). The Gamecocks will start quarterback Connor Shaw after Stephen Garcia was dismissed from the team after recieving 6 suspensions. Garcia has thrown for just 844 in a span of six games, as well as thrown 9 interceptions and only 4 touchdowns this season. Connor Shaw has looked good in previous games he has played. Specifically Kentucky, where he threw for 4 touchdowns. Even if Shaw were to struggle, he has a solid defense and great running game in Marcus Lattimore (146 attempts, 779 yards, 9 TDs) to back him up. Mississpipi State has looked decent this year, and though 3-3, has had losses to quality teams (Auburn, LSU, Georgia). Unfortunately, South Carolina is another quality team. I think they are the pick here.

Pick #2 Illinois Fighting Illini

The #16 Fighting Illini will go into this game 6-0 hosting the 3-3 Ohio State Buckeyes. Similar to the Mississippi State pick, Ohio State has had quality losses besides Miami (lossed to Michigan State and Nebraska). Ohio State still has yet to win on the road after losing to Miami and Nebraska, but looks to change that today. For Illinois, in addition to a good defense, they also have managed a good offense with a running game that averages about 226 yards per game lead by dual running backs Troy Pollard and Nathan Scheelhaase. Illinois has looked impressive so far this season. I don't think very many people expected them to be 6-0 this far in the season a year ago. I think today they make it 7-0. If Ohio State had homefield advantage this would be a completely different scenario. But when the significantly better team has homefeild advantage in college football, its hard to pick against them. Illini for the win.  

October 13th and 14th results

Results for October 13th and 14th;

October 13th:
Derry City - Loss 1-0
Detroit Red Wings- Win 2-0
USC Trojans- Win 30-9

October 14th
David Toms- Win
Webb Simpson- Win
160 passing yards or more- Win (174)
San Jose Sharks- Loss 0-1

Record for last 2 days 5-2
Overall Month Record- 17-10

Thanks for following,

Streakhelper


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October 14 Picks continued

Pick #3 160 passing yards or more

  Hopefully this will end before the Sharks game (which I doubt). Hawaii is much more of a passing offense than rushing. As much as Moniz throws it, this pick has a good shot of 160 or more. So far this season he averages about 221 first half passing yards in his first 5 games. Thats pretty dang good. Over or pass on this one for me.


Pick #4 San Jose Sharks

  San Jose will go into this game 1-0-0 after an impressive 6-3 home win over Phoenix (1-1-1). Anaheim is 1-1-0 after a 1-4 loss at Buffalo in their season opener, followed by an ugly 2-1 overtime win over the New York Rangers (0-0-2). With the Ducks not playing so well in its opening games, I don't see them beating San Jose. They had a hard time against NY at home, and San Jose is much better than NY in my opinion.  San Jose should win, but since its on Streak for the Cash it may be interesting...

Pick #1 David Toms- Win
Pick #2 Webb Simpson- Win

 I know today's post writups are shorter than normal, but hopefully they get the job done. More tonight.

Clicking Ads/A couple Picks for October 14th

Hey guys, I'm trying to get 500 ad clicks by the end of the month. So if you guys dont mind clicking an ad or two that interests you (picture ads preferably), I would appreciate it. No need to go crazy clicking ads. It helps show sponsors I bring good traffic to my blog.

Next post for October 14th will be posted tomorrow afternoon with full writeups. But here are my first 2 picks...

Pick #1 (golf) David Toms or tie

Pick #2 (golf) Webb Simpson or tie

Both picks are similar. Both golfers seem to have a slightly better shot at winning than Fowler or Kuchar. But add the tie option, and its icing on the cake.

Thanks to everyone for following,

Streakhelper

October 13th Picks

Pick #1 Derry City win or draw

   Derry City will go into this game 17-12-3, scoring 63 goals and having a 37 goal difference. Shamrock is (20-8-5), with a 39 goal difference and has scored 68 goals this year. In previous matches, Derry City has looked pretty good against a very solid Shamrock team. This year Derry City drew shamrock twice (0-0 and 1-1) and won 1-0 at home back in July. They did however lose to Shamrock 1-0 on the road back in June. So, with Shamrock at home this game makes me a little nervous. Shamrock has played very well at home overall, but past records indicate Derry City has played well agianst a team with such  a high caliber team in their league. More than likely it will be a draw, or one of these teams will lose by 1. Probably Derry City.

Confidence rating: 65% in Derry City win or draw; 45% in Shamrock to win

Pick #2 Detroit Red Wings

With Detroit (2-0-0, 8pts this year) at home against Vancouver (1-1-1, 10pts this year), it is a little hard to go against Detroit at the moment. Although we don't really know where every NHL team is at, Detroit looks good right now, Vancouver looks about average. Granted, their two games struggled were against a strong Penguins and Flyers team, they still have not been able to do anything that impressive besides keeping a close 4-5 loss with the Flyers on the road. Detroit opened the season with a 5-3 win against Ottawa (1-2-0) and then followed that with a 3-0 road win against the Colorado Avalanche (2-1-0). Detroit should take this in a close one.

Confidence rating: 70% for Detroit; 30% for Vancouver

Pick #3 USC Trojans

I can't stand USC, but I think tonight I may be a fan. Amazing how SFTC can mess up your priorities in sports. Anyway, USC is 4-1 so far this year, with their lone loss came to #18 Arizona State on the road. California is 3-2, with both of their losses on the road to #9 Oregon and Washington (4-1). California so far has had quality losses, but is still in search of a quality win. Looking on paper, statistically these teams look pretty even. USC has had better looking wins against better teams, but looked awful against Arizona State in their 22-43 loss, and looked bad against a 1-5 Minnesota team in a 19-17 ugly win. All in all, I would take USC. California will definitely have an advantage playing at home, but USC should take this in a close one.

Confidence rating: 65%

ESPN's preview:

Matchup

	USC	California
W-L	4-1	3-2
Avg Points	30.0	34.6
Avg Points Allowed	26.4	28.0
Home Record	4-0	2-0
Road Record	0-1	1-2
Division Record	2-1	0-2
Conference Record	2-1	0-2
Complete Standings

Team Averages & NCAA Ranks

Offense	Team	Per Game Average / NCAA Rank
Total Yards		454.4 / 29th
		458.0 / 26th
Passing Yards		322.8 / 17th
		314.4 / 20th
Rushing Yards		136.6 / 70th
		157.6 / 57th
Points Scored		30.0 / 55th
		34.6 / 33rd
Full Team Stats: USC | California

This Week's Line

Favorite	Spread	Underdog	Over/Under
USC	3	CALIFORNIA	58
Full Daily Lines

Passing Leaders

USC	CMP%	YDS	TD	INT
M. Barkley	70.7	1587	14	4
M. Tyler	100.0	2	0	0
California	CMP%	YDS	TD	INT
Z. Maynard	51.4	1291	11	3
A. Bridgford	41.4	179	0	0

Rushing Leaders

USC	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD
M. Tyler	72	338	4.7	2
C. McNeal	24	203	8.5	1
California	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD
I. Sofele	91	499	5.5	4
C. Anderson	27	126	4.7	3

Receiving Leaders

USC	REC	YDS	AVG	TD
R. Woods	55	747	13.6	6
M. Lee	21	323	15.4	3
California	REC	YDS	AVG	TD
K. Allen	39	668	17.1	4
M. Jones	29	441	15.2	3

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October 12th Picks Coming Soon

October 11th pick results-

Austria win- Loss (0-0 draw)

Any Other Result- Win (Scotland lost 1-3)

Record for day 1-1

Record for month 11-8

   After taking Deportivo, here is the last pick I think I will finish my day with. I never got around to a computer today, so today's post will be pretty plain...

Pick #1 DC United win

  DC United will go into this game with a 9-11-10 record along with an even (0) goal difference and 38 goals this season. Vancouver is 5-10-16 with a -18 goal difference and 25 goals this season. Vancouver has obviously struggled defensively this season, as well as winning at home. However they put up an impressive 3-0 home victory last week against a solid Salt Lake team. Regardless, Vancouver's home record speaks for itself (5-5-5). Next to Salt Lake their 5 wins came to pretty bad teams. The only thing I can really see Vancouver getting tonight is a draw. Which I'm not sure they can do. Last time these two teams met DC United crushed them 4-0 at home. Obviously, with them going on the road it may be a different story. Worst case scenario they draw, but I think I see them winning by 1 or 2 with ease.

 Confidence rating: 75%                   DC 75% ---------------><----- Vancouver 25%


I'll get more up tomorrow around 12:30 pm central time for afternoon/evening picks (Only 2 golf picks for morning props. I don't really care for them).

Sorry this blog has been lagging the last couple days. I've just been very busy. It gets hard to maintain this at a consistent pace after a couple weeks of activities piling up. Thanks for understanding and your support. It will be back to normal tonight.




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October 11th Picks

October 10th Pick  result

Estonia W/D- Loss (Croatia scored a goal in the 88' minute on a penalty kick)

Record for month 10-7

Pick #1 Austria win

  Kazakhstan is a pretty bad team. Though Austria is not a whole lot better, Austria currently ranks 77th in the world rankings. Kazakhstan is 132nd. Kazakhstan lost to Germany on the road 4-0, while Austria lost to Germany 6-2 on the road. Austria lost to Turkey 2-0 on the road while Kazakhstan lost 2-1 on the road. Austia beat Azerbaijan 4-1 on the road while Kazakhstan lost to Azerbaijan 3-2. Kazakhstan has no chance of advancing to the finals of the 2012 Euro Cup after losing to Belgium, and Austria is also eliminated. Kazakhstan's defense has looked better than Austria's in this tourney but Austria knows how to score. This game has no substantial tournament meaning for either team. Austria (3 wins in 9 games), Kazakhstan (1 win, 8 losses in 9 games), both teams are eliminated. Also note that Austria had nothing to play for in their last match against Azerbaijan, however they finished the game with a 4-1 win. Kazakhstan lost 1-4 to Belgium in their last match. Conclusion: Austria wins 1-0.

Confidence Rating: 70%

Pick #2 Any Other Result (Scotland @ Spain)-

  Well, for starters; Scotland has a lot to play for contributing to thier finals hopes. Spain on the other hand, wouldn't be to harmed by a loss or draw. Theres no way I would say Spain loses. Worst case scenario they draw, but 3+ seems like a lot to ask for a team (Spain) that doesn't have a lot to play for. Scotland I feel will play their heart out, and will also get a little bit of releif from Spain's roster. Spain's starting goalkeeper Iker Cassillas, will be rested in today's game against Scotland. Spain defender Raul Albiol will also not be played as he nurses a fractured cheekbone. Other questionable starters for Spain include Sergio Ramos (defender) and Xabi Alonso (midfeilder). AOR seems to be the pick.

Confidence Rating: 75%

More to come. Got home late today...


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October 10th Picks

October 9th pick results:

Broncos record more total yards than Phillip Rivers- Win (Broncos- 275, Rivers- 250)

Record for day 1-0
Record for month 10-6

  After having such a rough start to the month, it been nice to actaully accumulate some consistent wins. Currently this blog is on a 5 game win streak. Hopefully that trend continues...

Pick #1 Estonia Win or Draw

  Estonia looks like a good pick. I wont go into a lot of detail, but both teams have been pretty bad this year. Estonia seems to be the best of the worst though on paper. With them at home, having the draw option, and Croatia giving up so many goals this year (and only scoring 1 goal in their last 5 games), I have to take Estonia for the draw. Sorry this writeup doesn't have a lot of detail. Its hard to update from a mobile device (and oddly distracting).

Confidence rating: 70%


***Update on new picks for today

   Hey guys, I am having a hard time updating my blog from my phone. I had a couple of (long) writeups that just disappeared after I posted . Tonight I will be back on my computer and I can write my picks up for tomorrow. Stay tuned...

October 9th Picks

October 8th Results:

LSU winning margin or tied- Won (LSU wm- 30, Florida pts scored- 11)
Honduras W, D, Lose by 1- Won (lost 1-0)

Record for day 2-0
Record for month 9-6

*Possible Pick Tennessee- Loss 20-12

I'm taking today a little easy to take a bit of a break, but here is a pick I like

Pick #1 Broncos record more total yards than Phillip Rivers

  After taking Bray this morning, I think I will go with the Broncos for my next pick. The Broncos pass defense has struggled a lot so far this season, but the most of their yards given up were against very good  quarterbacks (Aaron Rogers last week and Matt Hasselback the week before). I think Phillip Rivers (another good QB) will have a successful day, but with Denver at home, I think they should put on a pretty good show. At home they have looked a lot better this season in every category. Also note that Willis McGahee ran for 103 yards last week agianst the number 2 rush defense in the NFL (Green Bay). If the Broncos can stay balanced and limit Rivers, they shouldn't have to much of a problem.

Tonight I will get my picks for tomorrow up. Everything will be back to normal tonight, I took it easy this weekend.

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October 8th Picks

October 7th pick results-

Sweden- Won 2-1
Italy-  Won (1-1 draw)

Record for day 2-0
Record for the month 7-6

Pick #1 LSU Winning Margin or tie

  Florida struggled to score severely last week at home. With them on the road to face another outstanding defense, I don't expect them to perform better than last week's 38-10 loss at home to Alabama. Not to mention Florida will be without John Brantley. Even last week with Brantley, Florida just could not get on the board often enough to keep up. Maybe Charlie Weis has come up with something to help their freshman QB Jeff Driskel, but I just don't see it happening.

Confidence rating: 82%

Pick #2 Honduras Win, Draw, Lose by 1

 This will be brief, but Honduras for sure. Not a huge amount of confidence, but plenty to pick them. The US men's team has really struggled lately. Even with it being a friendly, I do not think the US will win by 2+. The outcome should be between a draw to a 1 point loss for Hunduras. Also, the US will be without Landon Donovan as well, and that will not help thier case.
   The US has looked pretty bad in friendlies, going 0-3-4 since January. Honduras has gone 1-2-4. Even if the US wins, I just dont see it being by more than 1. I think the US will experiment today with some new players as well. Win or lose, Honduras for the pick.

Confidence rating: 79%

Possible Pick- Tennessee

   As a huge Tennessee fan, I just couldn't resist putting this game up. Tennessee (3-1) will host the Georgia Bulldogs (3-2) tonight in Neyland Stadium. The Vols passing attack this year has been phenomenal. Tennessee quarterback Tyler Bray, is averaging about 336 passing yards a game. His worse game came to the Gators after throwing for 288 yards, 3 tds and 2 interceptions in a 33-23 loss in Gainesville.
    Georgia's Aaron Murray has looked pretty good himself. Completing 83 of 135 for 1100 yards and 13 touchdowns. But the real story has been in Georgia's runnning game, featuring freshman running back Isaiah Crowell. Crowell has run for 515 yards on 99 carries (5.2 ypc) and 2 tds (surprisingly low), with Junior support running back Carlton Thomas rushing the ball 28 times for 143 yards (5.1 ypc) and 2 tds. Defensively, both teams are almost identical, allowing about 20 pts per game.
     One of my biggest concerns is Tennessee being without reciever Justin Hunter. The Vols played fine last week without him in their 41-10 romp over Buffalo at home, but I still feel it might be a factor. The Bulldogs have been beaten pretty bad in their last 2 trips to Knoxville. 2007 they lost 35-14, and in 2009 they lost 45-19. As well as many SEC stadiums, Neyland Stadium isn't an easy place to play. With their seating capacity just over 103,000, I think the Vols will have a huge 12th man advantage and may even be the deciding factor of the game. My prediction? Tennesee 30, Georgia 27.

Final thoughts: Tennessee 30, Georgia 27: The Bulldogs have a more balanced offense, and superior defensive statistics. But they haven't faced a passer of Tyler Bray's caliber since Boise State's Kellen Moore riddled them in the season opener.

Neyland Stadium should be a factor. The Bulldogs have lost 10 of their last 17 games away from Sanford Stadium.

Confidence rating: 65%

Sorry this post didn't get up till noon, but I changed my mind on some picks and wanted to put some thought into my predictions. I will have more up. I just havn't decided what else I like tonight.

Thanks to everyone following,

Streakhelper

October 7th Picks

October 6th Pick Results

Rori Sabbatini- Loss (by one stroke 37-36)
New York Yankees- Loss 2-3

Blog record for Month 5-6

 This has definitely been the toughest month for this blog. This is the first day this blog hasn't had at least one win since it started back in August. Tomorrow's picks look a lot better though. I'll put more up on each pick tomorrow. I just don't have a lot of time tonight.

Pick #1 Sweden Win

  This is a pretty good pick that I actually feel good about. Really the first pick I've felt good about in the last couple days. For starters, Sweden beat Finland 5-0 in their last Euro qualifying. Thats a pretty large margin. Also the only team Sweden has struggled against lately (2 losses) is a very talented (8-0-0) Netherlands team. Thats all I am going to write on the game for now, just know it is a pretty good pick. Pretty heavily favored as well.

Pick #2- Italy Win or Draw

  Italy will be sitting quite a few key players out since they have already qualified. Even with their B team however, I think they have a good shot at ending the game with a draw. They still have a decent lineup. Still, Serbia shouldn't be underestimated with a pretty full squad. Don't risk a big streak on it, but Italy for the draw (or possibly win)

Much more to come.

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