The Packers barely run it, and usually rely on Rogers to make their big plays. He already has 14 touchdown passes in his first 5 games this season. There is really not a lot to say. With the Rams having such a poor defense, I really think Rogers can edge out 3 or 4 touchdown passes today. I have a lot of confidence in this pick, and I will probably risk my streak on it.
Pick #2 Tom Brady records more passing yards than Tony Romo (NFL football)
It seems like SM is feeling pretty generous with some of today's QB picks. Romo has looked excellent this season, but looking at the stats, Brady is your best bet. He (Brady) struggled against Oakland back in week 4, throwing for 226 yards and 2 touchdowns (not that thats bad, just for Tom Brady, you would typically expect more). In every other game however, he has thrown for well over 300+ yards. 321 yards against the Jets last week, 387 yards against Buffalo in week 3, 423 yards against San Diego in week 2, and 517 yards in an incredible performance against Miami in the season opener. His passing yards have been dropping a little since the beginning of the year, but he has still put up solid numbers.
Now here is the catch/break for Romo; New England has the worst pass defense in the NFL so far, giving up about 326 yards a game through the air. And that is where this prop loses it “lock” status. Brady is by far a much better quarterback, but Romo can be very productive as well. Add the element of the worst pass defense in the NFL, and it could be a rough pick for Brady pickers. In 4 games, Romo has thrown for 1,273 yards (passing yards in games; 342 week 1, 345 week 2, 255 week 3, 331week 4).
Now the break for Brady and Brady pickers; is that Romo is probable for todays game. No start for Romo and the pick gets pushed. If he does start there is the risk of him playing gimped up and underperforming.
At the end of the day though, I would take Brady. With him at home in a comfortable environment, Brady should be pretty relaxed. Plus if Romo is still pretty hurt, he more than likely won't play to his full potential. When Brady is relaxed, he usually catches fire.
Pick #3 Chivas USA win, draw or lose by 1 (MLS Soccer)
The LA Galaxy will go into this game resting most of their starters. LA may have them out at the beginning of the game, but I don't see LA playing starters for to long. LA has accomplished everything it needs to for the regular season, and has more to worry about in upcoming matches. They lost 0-2 in their last game to the mediocre NY Red Bulls as a result of limiting starters playing time, like today.
Chivas USA is 8-12-12 with 1pt goal difference, and has scored 36 goals this year. LA is 18-10-4 with an impressive 21 goal difference and 64 goals this season. LA is a much better team, but resting starters really brings them down to Chivas USA's level. Even if it was Chivas USA win or draw I would consider it. But giving them that 1 goal cushion really makes me feel a lot more comfortable with this pick. Chivas USA looks like the pick.
**EDIT
Another thing I forgot to mention is that this is not even a home game for LA. Chivas USA and the Galaxy both share the same stadium. Consider it a neutral site.
**EDIT
Another thing I forgot to mention is that this is not even a home game for LA. Chivas USA and the Galaxy both share the same stadium. Consider it a neutral site.
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