Total Pageviews

Thursday, October 13, 2011

October 13th Picks

Pick #1 Derry City win or draw

   Derry City will go into this game 17-12-3, scoring 63 goals and having a 37 goal difference. Shamrock is (20-8-5), with a 39 goal difference and has scored 68 goals this year. In previous matches, Derry City has looked pretty good against a very solid Shamrock team. This year Derry City drew shamrock twice (0-0 and 1-1) and won 1-0 at home back in July. They did however lose to Shamrock 1-0 on the road back in June. So, with Shamrock at home this game makes me a little nervous. Shamrock has played very well at home overall, but past records indicate Derry City has played well agianst a team with such  a high caliber team in their league. More than likely it will be a draw, or one of these teams will lose by 1. Probably Derry City.

Confidence rating: 65% in Derry City win or draw; 45% in Shamrock to win


Pick #2 Detroit Red Wings

With Detroit (2-0-0, 8pts this year) at home against Vancouver (1-1-1, 10pts this year), it is a little hard to go against Detroit at the moment. Although we don't really know where every NHL team is at, Detroit looks good right now, Vancouver looks about average. Granted, their two games struggled were against a strong Penguins and Flyers team, they still have not been able to do anything that impressive besides keeping a close 4-5 loss with the Flyers on the road. Detroit opened the season with a 5-3 win against Ottawa (1-2-0) and then followed that with a 3-0 road win against the Colorado Avalanche (2-1-0). Detroit should take this in a close one.

Confidence rating: 70% for Detroit; 30% for Vancouver


Pick #3 USC Trojans

I can't stand USC, but I think tonight I may be a fan. Amazing how SFTC can mess up your priorities in sports. Anyway, USC is 4-1 so far this year, with their lone loss came to #18 Arizona State on the road. California is 3-2, with both of their losses on the road to #9 Oregon and Washington (4-1). California so far has had quality losses, but is still in search of a quality win. Looking on paper, statistically these teams look pretty even. USC has had better looking wins against better teams, but looked awful against Arizona State in their 22-43 loss, and looked bad against a 1-5 Minnesota team in a 19-17 ugly win. All in all, I would take USC. California will definitely have an advantage playing at home, but USC should take this in a close one.

Confidence rating: 65%

ESPN's preview:

Matchup


USC
California
W-L
4-1
3-2
Avg Points
30.0
34.6
Avg Points Allowed
26.4
28.0
Home Record
4-0
2-0
Road Record
0-1
1-2
Division Record
2-1
0-2
Conference Record
2-1
0-2
Complete Standings

Team Averages & NCAA Ranks

Offense Team Per Game Average / NCAA Rank
Total Yards

454.4 / 29th


458.0 / 26th
Passing Yards

322.8 / 17th


314.4 / 20th
Rushing Yards

136.6 / 70th


157.6 / 57th
Points Scored

30.0 / 55th


34.6 / 33rd
Full Team Stats: USC | California

This Week's Line

Favorite
Spread
Underdog
Over/Under
USC
3
CALIFORNIA
58
Full Daily Lines

Passing Leaders

USC
CMP%
YDS
TD
INT
70.7 1587 14 4
100.0 2 0 0
California
CMP%
YDS
TD
INT
51.4 1291 11 3
41.4 179 0 0

Rushing Leaders

USC
CAR
YDS
AVG
TD
72
338
4.7
2
24
203
8.5
1
California
CAR
YDS
AVG
TD
91
499
5.5
4
27
126
4.7
3

Receiving Leaders

USC
REC
YDS
AVG
TD
55
747
13.6
6
21
323
15.4
3
California
REC
YDS
AVG
TD
39
668
17.1
4
29
441
15.2
3


Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com

Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690

Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690

2 comments:

  1. Tough break on the Shamrock/Derry City pick. I had planned to pick Samrock to Win but got caught up with work and didn't get to lock it in time. Almost any team at home given the Win or Draw option is pretty weak anyway soyou should keep that in mind for future matchups.
    What are your thoughts on the Verlander Win or no prop, St. Louis Cardinals (Lohse)vs. Milwaukee Brewers (Wolf), and 149 or fewer/150 or more passing yards for M. Barkley (USC)?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yeah I was torn between the two. Derry City had looked so good against Shamrock in previous matches, so I just went with them since they had the draw. Good game by SM to put up.

    Sorry I never responded to your picks. I just now logged back into my blog since my last post

    ReplyDelete