Pick #1 Nacional win
At -290, Nacional may be the best pick today. Nacional is at the top of their table at 9-2-4, with an 8 goal difference, while Lequeno is second to last in the table at 3-3-8 with a -10 goal difference. Surprisingly though, Lequeno did manage a 1-0 win back at the end of August. Before that, they played in May where Nacional took the game on the road 3-1. Nacional is at home though, and over three months after their road loss in August to Lequeno, Nacional has clearly been the better team in their table. Good luck whatever you do.
Pick #2 Alex Carder: 179 Passing yards or fewer
Miami OH pass defense ranks 7th overall in the nation. Allowing about 171 total passing yards per game. Granted, the MAC teams (as well as non conference teams) Miami OH has played aren't exactly at the BCS level, but the same can be said about Carder, as this will be the best pass defense Carder has faced. Carder has put up some incredible stats though to lower pass defense teams, averaging about 334 passing yards in his last 5 MAC games. Can he do it against a top 10 pass defense though? I don't think he can from what I see, but he may prove me wrong.
Conclusion: Miami OH ranks 78th in rush defense, and though Western Michigan has mostly been a pass offense, I think they will be a little more balanced going into tonight with Miami having a much weaker rush defense. Goof luck whatever you do.
More to come...
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