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Friday, September 9, 2011

September 10th Picks

 Sorry there hasn't been a post in a couple days. Here are a few I like tomorrow...

Pick #1 #8 Wisconsin: Winning Margin-

   Oregon State does not have a lot going into this game. Judging from last season's players gone, Wisconsin should blow them out by at least 20 or 30. Oregon State will also be without their starting freshman running back Malcolm Agnew, who ran for 223 yards and 3 touchdowns on 33 carries. Even with Agnew's numbers, they still lost last week to Sacramento State (who?) in overtime. Wisconsin is such a better team. The only way I can see this prop being bad for Wisconsin pickers, is if somehow Wisconsin's defense doesn't show up, and Oregon State bring their A-game (which probably isn't that great) and scored a few touchdowns. Oregon State just doesn't have the depth and personnel to match Wisconsin. I'm not sure they even have enough to win the the prop. Wisconsin for me.


Pick #2 South Carolina (NCAAF)-

   South Carolina looks to extend their record to 2-0 in Athens this weekend. 5th year Senior quarterback Stephen Garcia, won back his starting job after sharing playing time with South Carolina's sophomore quarterback Connor Shaw. South Carolina has looked strong since last season. Making it to their first SEC Championship game last year representing the SEC east, where they lost 56-17 to Auburn. South Carolina seems like they could be on the rise this season to be something special with some of what they have coming back. A very experienced quarterback in Stephen Garcia, who has been with the team since 2007. Marcus Lattimore, who just as a freshman last season, tore it up on the ground with 1,197 yards on 249 carries and 17 touchdowns. Last year's leading reciever for South Carolina Alshon Jeffery (junior), who racked up 1,517 yards and 9 touchdowns off of 88 catches. Overall South Carolina has 13 returning starters (7 offense, 6 defense).

   Georgia looks to rebound after a disappointing 35-21 loss against 5th ranked Boise State. Georgia, more specifically, Georgia head coach Mark Richt needs a win. Richt has been on the hot seat for the last couple years. Since coaching a Georgia team predicted to be a national championship contender in 2008 who came well short of the expected goal, Mark Richt has felt the seat becoming warmer season by season. South Carolina would be a huge win. It would raise eyebrows across the nation and put a lot of faith in the University of Georgia organization and football team. As well has buy Richt more time to prove to the Bulldog nation he still has the ability to to get Georgia reconized by the BCS.

   With everything above said, Georgia isn't impossibly outmatched. Some of Georgia's circumstances give them some advantages that might make it possible. Homefeild advantage for one. I have always thought homefield advantage was one the most overrated advantages to any team of any sport. However, in college football (especially SEC football) homefeild advantage can be huge. Georgia will also start Aaron Murray who posted some pretty good numbers last season (3,049, 61.8% completion, 24 TD, 8 INT). Georgia's backfeild will see a new face in highly touted #1 running back recruit Isaiah Crowell. Who ran for 60 yards on 15 carries agaist Boise State last week.

    Its hard to say how much better Boise State is (or isn't) compared to South Carolina, but either way South Carolina is significantly better than Georgia from what I can judge. Its hard to say where everyone in college football is right now, but South Carolina seems to be ok for the most part and Georgia seems to need a bit of tweaking within the next couple of weeks. South Carolina by 10 (31-21).

Possibe Pick #1 Chelsea- (Post pending) sorry I never got this post up. Overslepted.

Possible Pick #2 Michigan

   Michigan (1-0) will host rival Notre Dame (0-1) tonight at the Big House, for the first night game in their stadium's history. Michigan opened their season with a 34-10 win over Western Michigan last weekend. Denard Robinson only threw for 98 yards and no TDs in that game. He did however manage 46 yards on just 8 carries (5.8 yds average) contributing to Michigan's 190 total yards. Denard Robinson was pretty quiet last week, both running and especially passing the ball. Michigan's offensive success came mainly from Michigan's dual running game in running backs Fitzgerald Toussaint (11 carries, 80 yards, 2 touchdowns) and Michael Shaw (4 carries, 54 yards, 1 touchdown).

   Notre Dame lost their opener 20-23 against South Florida at home. Notre Dame really needs to get it together for Michigan tonight. They didn't win at home, and they are about to enter a stadium on the road  that holds as many as 114,000+ fans. If Notre Dame can stop the run tonight and contain Denard Robinson, I think they will be in pretty good shape. Tommy Rees will also have to show up and post some good numbers in the passing game to take pressure off the defense and create scoring opportunities.

   Overall I like Michigan. Homefield advantage will be huge here and Denard Robinson will have an opportunity to show the nation he can still perform as he did early last season. Michigan by 7 (24-17).

More to come... the South Carolina pick I wanted to put some depth into.

I almost forgot to review my picks from September 7th.

Giants- loss 1-3
No, no run scored in the 3rd- Won

Record for day 1-1
Record for month 10-4

I skipped the Giants and went with no run scored in the 3rd.

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