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Thursday, February 16, 2012

February 16th Picks

Pick #1 LA Clippers

 The Clippers (18-9) are 6-3 this month (9-3 since 1/26/12), with 7 of those 9 games being on the road. Portland (16-14) is 4-5 for February (5-7 since 1/25/12), with 5 of their 9 games being played at home. Overall, both teams matchup pretty equally, with LA ranking 5th in ppg, 16th in rebounds, 8th in assists and 18th in points allowed. Portland ranks 7th in points, 17th in rebounds, 9th in assists and 12th in points allowed. I give the edge to LA just for their recent production. Over the past few weeks, they have accumulated a significantly better record than Portland with most of those game being on the road. Most of Portland's games were at home. Expect a close game but I think the Clippers prevail.

Accuscore analysis


The Portland Trail Blazers are slight 50.2 percent favorites over the LA Clippers. The Clippers are shooting 46.8 percent from the field and the Trail Blazers are forecasted to shoot 44.8 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Clippers projected for 41.3 rebounds vs. 40.6 for the Trail Blazers. Turnovers are pretty even with the Clippers projected for 13.6 turnovers vs. 13.4 for the Trail Blazers. The Clippers are making 5.6 three pointers on 35.7 percent from three point range. The Trail Blazers are making 7.4 three pointers on 35.5 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Blake Griffin 22.4, Jamal Crawford 17.5 ASSISTS: Chris Paul 9.3, Raymond Felton 7.1 REBOUNDS: Blake Griffin 10.5, Marcus Camby 11.1 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at POR 2 TOTAL 188.5. WIN-LOSS LA Clippers 18-9 Portland Trail Blazers 16-14 ATS LA Clippers 17-10 Sweat Barometer -2.3 Portland Trail Blazers 16-14 Sweat Barometer 0.6 OVER-UNDER LA Clippers 14-13 Avg Over/Under Line 3 Portland Trail Blazers 14-15 Avg Over/Under Line 0.9 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS LA Clippers 12-14 Portland Trail Blazers 15-12 OVER-UNDER PICKS LA Clippers 18-8 Portland Trail Blazers 13-14

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: LA Clippers

LA ClippersATS RECORDPortland Trail BlazersATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road7-6, 54% 100Record at Home11-4, 73% 700Portland Trail Blazers
VS Portland Trail Blazers1-1, 50% -10VS LA Clippers1-1, 50% -10EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better11-7, 61% 330vs Team .500 or Better7-9, 44% -290LA Clippers
Record as Road Favorite5-1, 83% 390Record as Home Underdog0-1, 0% -110LA Clippers
Playing Back-to-Back Days5-2, 71% +280Playing Back-to-Back Days4-6, 40% -260LA Clippers


Good luck tonight whatever you do.

I won't have a post up for tomorrow (2/17/12) but I will get a post up for Saturday (2/18/12). Sorry these post are so late in the day, Saturday I'm going to try to get a post up around noon (or sooner if possible). I've been extremely busy lately.