November 3rd results:
22 points or more- Loss (17)
LA Galaxy win- Win (2-1)
Blog record for the month 4-3
Sorry such a late post. Power went out last night and my internet was down for a while. I ended up passing in both picks last night after I took 3 or more players to score a touchdown. After the risk payed off, it put me at W5 and so I obviously decided to pass on 22 points or more because FSU had put up such a big lead (I figured they would slow down and BC couldn't score), and LA I just passed because I had my win for the day and I wasn't to sure of their gameplan.
Pick #1 No: CMU doesn't score on its first possession
CMU ranks 93th in points per game, averaging about 23 (22.8). Kent State's defense ranks 58th in points against, giving up about 26 points a game (26.4) and ranking 32nd in defense nationally. Kent State's defense seems very good for a 2-6 team. It's mainly thier offense that is the weakness of the team ranking near the bottom of the nation in passing yards (117th), rushing yards (117th) and scoring (119th). I think if CMU starts with the ball, this will be a very good pick. If Kent State starts with the ball and doesn't capitalize to somehow spot CMU with great feild position, No picks might be in trouble. The coinflip may greatly influence this prop.
Pick #2 USC wins by 25+
Aside from Arizona State and Minnesota, USC has played very well this season. They played like a top 10 team against Stanford, and hopefully they do so tonight. Kiffin likes to score as many points as he can. Though only averaging about 32 points a game as a top 25 team, USC is really coming together since Arizona State. Blowout wins to rivals California and Notre Dame on the road, as well as coming short of beating Stanford in 3 OTs, should tell you USC is different from the team that opened the year with an ugly 19-17 victory over Minnesota.
To add to that, Colorado is a pretty bad team. They sit at 1-8, 0-5 in the PAC-12, and rank 110th in points for, 117th in points against; and 100th in total defense and 98th in total offense. It may or may not be close, but I think USC wins between 20-30 (which is vague, I know). I would feel better about going with 25 or more.
Pick #3 Dallas Stars
No writeup, but it is a little hard to go against them at home in this scenario. Could go either way, but I would take Dallas if you made me choose.
Good Luck whatever you do tonight
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