Here is one pick I really like, that I am getting up because I won't be home till about noon tomorrow. I will be busy all morning.
Pick #1 FC Honka
This looks like a very good pick. It could almost be Honka win by 2+ in some ways. Rovaniemen hasn't won or drawn on the road since May 19, 2011. Making them 0-0-9 in their last 9 away matches. Honka is 11-6-4 overall at home in 2011 Including a 1-0 home win in May over Rovanieman. Overall Honka's goal difference is +6 while Rovanieman's is -31. Thats insane. I will try to put more up on this tomorrow if I can. But in case I don't, just know that Honka is a huge favorite. I've seen them as high as -600. Absolutely ridiculous.
Pick #2 Texas Rangers
Similar scenario compared to yesterday. However, tonight the Rangers will start CJ Wilson (2.97 ERA, 16-7 record, 1.17 whip, 198 strikeouts) at pitcher, and the A's will start Brandon McCarthy (3.35 ERA, 9-8 record, 1.15 whip, 116 strikeouts). CJ Wilson looked good when he played them on 9/11. Leading Texas to a 8-1 win. In McCarthy's last start against Texas (9/9/2011), he fell well short of defeating the Rangers, losing 4-13.
(Possible) Pick #3 Wilson records a strikeout in the 1st
He strikes people out pretty often. Last time against the A's, he had two strikeouts in the first inning. your taking about a 60/40 chance in this.
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
September 20th Picks
Pretty bland day for the most part. Not really any gimmes like the Wisla pick yesterday. There are a few I do like though...
Pick #1 Detroit Tigers
The Tigers will start Brad Penny on the mound today, who hasn't really put up anything impressive (5.07 ERA, 10-10 record, 1.53 whip, 71 strikeouts). He did however, manage a 3-0 victory over the Royals back in May. Pitching his best game ERA-wise with a 4.11 ERA.
The Royals will start Luis Mendoza who hasn't started a game since 2008. Posting a 8.43 ERA 4-9 record, 1.84 whip and 43 strikeouts in his MLB experience. He has done very well in the Pacific Coast League, where he won pitcher of the year and put up a 10-3 record with a 1.85 ERA. We will see how he will translate that to the majors tonight.
Detroit is a very good batting team. Ranking 4th in runs, 3rd in batting average, 5th on base and 4th in slugging percent. If Mendoza has pitched the way he has before in the majors, I think Detroit could score very quickly and often early in the game. My biggest concern is that Detroit doesn't have a whole lot to play for, besides homefield advantage (we saw how that worked out for the Phillies a couple nights ago). Also Penny says he wants to win (if that really means anything, talk is cheap), and I think he could use the win on his mediocre resume for this season. Pick with caution, but a really bad pitcher from previous games in the MLB vs. a top 5 batting team, may be a problem for the Royals.
Pick #2 Texas Rangers
Probably the best pick of the day in my opinion. After Real Sociedad, this will probably be my next pick. The Rangers will start Derek Holland on the mound today, posting a 4.02 ERA, 14-5 record, 1.38 whip and 148 strikeouts. So far Holland has been 2-1 against the A's in his five career games agianst them, posting a 1.72 overall ERA. Holland has been pretty hot lately. He looked great in his last game against the Indians which resulted in a 9-1 win and has won 3 of his last 4 starts. Texas has a lot on the line in order to make it to the postseason. I think they will do everything they can to beat Oakland tonight to help keep their hopes alive.
The A's will bring out Rich Harden, compiling a 4.76 ERA, 4-3 record, 1.37 whip and 83 strikeouts. Rich Harden lost to Texas (6-7) back in August. He gave up 5 hits and posted a 4.5 ERA.
Conclusion:
With Texas having so much to play for, and also being the better team on paper, I have to say Texas. Texas also has a great batting team. Ranking 3rd in runs, 2nd in batting average, 4th on base and 2nd in slugging percentage. It may be close but I have no reason to pick the A's. Even if Texas loses I wont regret the pick.
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Pick #1 Detroit Tigers
The Tigers will start Brad Penny on the mound today, who hasn't really put up anything impressive (5.07 ERA, 10-10 record, 1.53 whip, 71 strikeouts). He did however, manage a 3-0 victory over the Royals back in May. Pitching his best game ERA-wise with a 4.11 ERA.
The Royals will start Luis Mendoza who hasn't started a game since 2008. Posting a 8.43 ERA 4-9 record, 1.84 whip and 43 strikeouts in his MLB experience. He has done very well in the Pacific Coast League, where he won pitcher of the year and put up a 10-3 record with a 1.85 ERA. We will see how he will translate that to the majors tonight.
Detroit is a very good batting team. Ranking 4th in runs, 3rd in batting average, 5th on base and 4th in slugging percent. If Mendoza has pitched the way he has before in the majors, I think Detroit could score very quickly and often early in the game. My biggest concern is that Detroit doesn't have a whole lot to play for, besides homefield advantage (we saw how that worked out for the Phillies a couple nights ago). Also Penny says he wants to win (if that really means anything, talk is cheap), and I think he could use the win on his mediocre resume for this season. Pick with caution, but a really bad pitcher from previous games in the MLB vs. a top 5 batting team, may be a problem for the Royals.
Pick #2 Texas Rangers
Probably the best pick of the day in my opinion. After Real Sociedad, this will probably be my next pick. The Rangers will start Derek Holland on the mound today, posting a 4.02 ERA, 14-5 record, 1.38 whip and 148 strikeouts. So far Holland has been 2-1 against the A's in his five career games agianst them, posting a 1.72 overall ERA. Holland has been pretty hot lately. He looked great in his last game against the Indians which resulted in a 9-1 win and has won 3 of his last 4 starts. Texas has a lot on the line in order to make it to the postseason. I think they will do everything they can to beat Oakland tonight to help keep their hopes alive.
The A's will bring out Rich Harden, compiling a 4.76 ERA, 4-3 record, 1.37 whip and 83 strikeouts. Rich Harden lost to Texas (6-7) back in August. He gave up 5 hits and posted a 4.5 ERA.
Conclusion:
With Texas having so much to play for, and also being the better team on paper, I have to say Texas. Texas also has a great batting team. Ranking 3rd in runs, 2nd in batting average, 4th on base and 2nd in slugging percentage. It may be close but I have no reason to pick the A's. Even if Texas loses I wont regret the pick.
Email me at streakhelp@yahoo.com
Join my group, search "streakhelper" in the join group search
check my previous post for a link to my entries if you would like to follow them.
And lastly be sure to become an official registered follower of this blog if you dont mind. You can do so by clicking "follow" in the top left corner of the toobar on this page.
Thanks, Streakhelper
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