Pick #1 Andrew Luck Completions (higher total)
On the season, Luck has had a total of 174 completions on the year, averaging about 21.7 completions per game. The least he has thrown this season, was against Washington where he threw 16 completions in a 65-21 win. Aside from Washington and San Jose State Stanford's season opener, Luck has thrown for 20 passes or more.
Stanford's defense ranks 13th in points against, allowing about 17 points per game. Oregon State ranks 90th in points for, averaging about 23 points per game, but only averaging 10 against ranked opponents (loss to Wisconsin 35-0, loss to Arizona State 35-20). Assuming Luck can complete about 20 passes, Stanford should have this. If they predominantly pass the ball, it should be a pretty easy pick, if they predominantly run, obviously it will more than likely be pretty close. I think Stanford's defense is good enough to keep Oregon State to 20 or less, and Andrew Luck is a phenomenal quarterback. Could be close, but I would take Andrew Luck.
Other notes:
*Oregon State ranks 61st in total offense
*Oregon State ranks 55th in total defense, and ranks 59th in overall pass defense
Pick #2 Wisconsin wins by 25+
Wisconsin has not been their normal selves lately in their last couple games on the road. Though struggling, they are still a great team; having a top 10 offense and defense after losing to pretty solid opponents. With them at home, I really think the Badgers should come alive today. Though Purdue is 4-4, they have not beaten anyone significant other than Illinois, who has not really beaten anyone significant besides a slightly overrated Arizona State. I'm not going to write anymore, because I'm probably going to take the Andrew Luck prop instead, but I think Wisconsin is the better pick, granted they show up like they have earlier in the year.
Pick #3 Arkansas Razorbacks
I have to take Arkansas with them at home and with South Carolina's Marcus Lattimore out. South Carolina Struggled in Knoxville last week against the Vols in a 14-3 win. In fact, It was a closer than the actual score of the game. Tennessee's offense was horrible that night, turning the ball over inside the 5 with the potential of a scoring opportunity. With South Carolina playing so poorly against a struggling Tennessee team, I don't think they will perform much better playing at Arkansas. Though Arkansas struggled last week in a 31-28 win against Vandy, you have to remember Vanderbilt has really improved from last season. Along with Lattimore, South Carolina has a lot of players out due to injuries and their original starting quarterback Stephen Garcia was kicked of the team after 6 team violations. Connor Shaw has had little production in his last couple starts on the road to Tennessee and Mississippi State. I think Arkansas should be able to capitalize on a gimped up South Carolina team. Good luck either way.
Good luck whatever you choose today
More tonight...
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