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Sunday, September 25, 2011

September 25th Picks

Yesterday's (8/24/2011) Results

Pick #1 Clemson- Won 35-30
Pick #2 Geno Smith more first half yards- Won with 202 compared to Lee's 129

Record for day 2-0

I have a couple today. I never got up a couple because I was unable to post this morning. Anyway, here it is.

Pick #1 New York Yankees (game 2)

  Two words; John Lackey (shaking my head...). Despite pitching for Boston, I think he will be the Yankees biggest weapon. A lot of you probably know, Lackey has really struggled this year. Posting a 6.49 ERA, 1.63 whip, and 104 strikouts with a 12-12 record, the main reason he has managed 12 wins is thanks to Boston's great batting. New York will place Ivan Nova on the mound, posting a 3.62 ERA, 16-4 record, 1.33 whip and 95 strikeouts. Nova helped the Yanks beat Boston 9-4 back in April. Lackey is 2-1 this year against the Yankees, but has yet to play them on the road. His most recent game he lost 5-2 back on August 30th at home. The only thing that concerns me is New York only has to beat Boston one more time for a sweep. I really don't think Boston wants this, but at the same time I think New York wants to give a final blow to a much hated rival. Hopefully the rivalry goes deep enough for New York to be motivated to beat them a final time.

Confidence rating: 72%           New York 72% ---------------> <----- Boston 28%

Pick #2 20 yards or more, longest touchdown play in the second half.

  The thing that concerns me is Collins. The Colts offense has definitely been struggling without Peyton so far this season. I'm really leaning on the Steelers making a play 20 yards or more. Unless Indy does something on special teams or defense. 20 yards isn't a lot to ask for either way.

Confidence Rating 78%     20 yards or more 78% ----------------> <----  19 or less 22%

Saturday, September 24, 2011

September 24th Picks

  Pick #1 Clemson-

  With FSU missing EJ Manuel, I think Clemson may have a huge chance to capitalize with a win at home. Trickett looked ok at home against Florida State, but he will definitely be tested on the road by Clemson. Clemson defeated Auburn 38-24 last week at home. With homefeild advantage and no Manuel, I think Clemson pulls it out in a close one. Clemson by 3-7.


   Confidence Rating: 65%      Clemson 65% -------------><-------- FSU 35%


   Possible Pick: Geno Smith Compiles more 1st half total yards-

  Geno Smith already has 1008 passing yards and -3 rushing yards in a span of West Virginia's first three games against Marshall, Norfolk State and Maryland. Granted LSU is much better defensively, Smith's numbers have been inpressive. Jarrett Lee has only compiled 444 passing yards and -22 yards rushing against Oregon, Northwestern State, and Mississippi State. LSU's defense is the only thing that concerns me. Geno Smith hasn't really been tested by a great defense yet, but then again neither has Jarrett Lee. West Virginia has about as good a defense as anyone LSU has played. Geno Smith for the pick.

      Confidence Rating: 65%             Smith 65% -------------><--------- Lee 35%

Friday, September 23, 2011

September 23rd Picks

  Sorry this post is so late. I have been having network problems and just now have been able to get it up with no issues. I wsnt able to get this posted in time for Frankfort, but here are the other picks I feel pretty good about.

Pick #1 UCF Knights

  UCF (2-1) will be on the road today against BYU (1-2). UCF's defense ranks 3rd in the nation in points against, only giving up 20 points in its first three games to Charleston Southern, Boston College and FIU. Shutting out Charleston Southern isn't increadibly impressive, but holding Boston College to 3 isn't to bad for a team who has traditionally been a pretty solid program. Their one red flag by far has been thier 17-10 loss to 3-0 FIU on the road. FIU is off to a better start than many predicted, opening with a blowout win to North Texas (41-16), followed by a win on the road to Louisville (24-17), and most recently a home win to UCF. So far FIU ranks 21st in points against, so I think UCF lost within 7 to pretty good football team.

    Looking at BYU's schedule results, they beat a very poor Ole Miss team 14-13 who was blown out by Vanderbilt 30-7. Thats pretty bad. BYU only managed a 1 point win to a team (Ole Miss) who was blownout traditionally the worst team in the SEC (Vandy). In the following week, they lost to then ranked #24 Texas 17-16 on the road. Who I think at the time was very overrated with Gilbert under center (and possibly still is overrated). Still, in that kind of envroment I think BYU deserves some credit for holding up pretty well to a team with a tough home crowd. After that they were blown out 54-10 by unranked Utah at home.

    Just from comparing each team's strength of schedule, I like UCF so far. But with BYU at home, this may give them an advantage they need to get a much needed win. However, BYU will need to get their running game going tonight to help out their passing game. BYU has struggled very much on the ground this season. Averaging about 48 yards a game (ranking 118th in the nation). Their passing though has been a good median, averaging about 253 yards a game (ranking 42nd in the nation). With BYU's struggling offense and UCF's good defense I'm not sure I see BYU scoring a whole lot.

    UCF is averaging about 223 (ranking 23rd) rushing yards a game and 204 passing yards a game (ranking 80th). On paper, UCF seems to have a better offense and defense, plus the one team they lost to is pretty good. BYU has struggled against teams that are struggling themselves. UCF for the win.

 Good luck tonight

I may have one more up later

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Thursday, September 22, 2011

New Picks Up Coming for September 23

    Sorry there was no post today. There wasn't really anything I could justify as a good pick. I may pick Zack Collaros goes over 125 1st half yards, but I'm still undecided. I see some stuff I like for tomorrow and I will get those picks up soon.

 I will get the picks up soon,

       Streakhelper

Yesterday's results...

FC Honka- Won 5-2
Texas Rangers- Won 3-2
CJ Wilson record strikeout in the first- Won (threw 2)

Record for day- 3-0
Record for month- ? (I'll get it all add up soon)


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Tuesday, September 20, 2011

September 21st Picks

Here is one pick I really like, that I am getting up because I won't be home till about noon tomorrow. I will be busy all morning.


Pick #1 FC Honka

   This looks like a very good pick. It could almost be Honka win by 2+ in some ways. Rovaniemen hasn't won or drawn on the road since May 19, 2011. Making them 0-0-9 in their last 9 away matches. Honka is 11-6-4 overall at home in 2011 Including a 1-0 home win in May over Rovanieman. Overall Honka's goal difference is +6 while Rovanieman's is -31. Thats insane. I will try to put more up on this tomorrow if I can. But in case I don't, just know that Honka is a huge favorite. I've seen them as high as -600. Absolutely ridiculous.

Pick #2 Texas Rangers

  Similar scenario compared to yesterday. However, tonight the Rangers will start CJ Wilson (2.97 ERA, 16-7 record, 1.17 whip, 198 strikeouts) at pitcher,  and the A's will start Brandon McCarthy (3.35 ERA, 9-8 record, 1.15 whip, 116 strikeouts). CJ Wilson looked good when he played them on 9/11. Leading Texas to a 8-1 win. In McCarthy's last start against Texas (9/9/2011), he fell well short of defeating the Rangers, losing 4-13.


 (Possible) Pick #3 Wilson records a strikeout in the 1st

  He strikes people out pretty often. Last time against the A's, he had two strikeouts in the first inning. your taking about a 60/40 chance in this.