Sorry this post is so late. I have been having network problems and just now have been able to get it up with no issues. I wsnt able to get this posted in time for Frankfort, but here are the other picks I feel pretty good about.
Pick #1 UCF Knights
UCF (2-1) will be on the road today against BYU (1-2). UCF's defense ranks 3rd in the nation in points against, only giving up 20 points in its first three games to Charleston Southern, Boston College and FIU. Shutting out Charleston Southern isn't increadibly impressive, but holding Boston College to 3 isn't to bad for a team who has traditionally been a pretty solid program. Their one red flag by far has been thier 17-10 loss to 3-0 FIU on the road. FIU is off to a better start than many predicted, opening with a blowout win to North Texas (41-16), followed by a win on the road to Louisville (24-17), and most recently a home win to UCF. So far FIU ranks 21st in points against, so I think UCF lost within 7 to pretty good football team.
Looking at BYU's schedule results, they beat a very poor Ole Miss team 14-13 who was blown out by Vanderbilt 30-7. Thats pretty bad. BYU only managed a 1 point win to a team (Ole Miss) who was blownout traditionally the worst team in the SEC (Vandy). In the following week, they lost to then ranked #24 Texas 17-16 on the road. Who I think at the time was very overrated with Gilbert under center (and possibly still is overrated). Still, in that kind of envroment I think BYU deserves some credit for holding up pretty well to a team with a tough home crowd. After that they were blown out 54-10 by unranked Utah at home.
Just from comparing each team's strength of schedule, I like UCF so far. But with BYU at home, this may give them an advantage they need to get a much needed win. However, BYU will need to get their running game going tonight to help out their passing game. BYU has struggled very much on the ground this season. Averaging about 48 yards a game (ranking 118th in the nation). Their passing though has been a good median, averaging about 253 yards a game (ranking 42nd in the nation). With BYU's struggling offense and UCF's good defense I'm not sure I see BYU scoring a whole lot.
UCF is averaging about 223 (ranking 23rd) rushing yards a game and 204 passing yards a game (ranking 80th). On paper, UCF seems to have a better offense and defense, plus the one team they lost to is pretty good. BYU has struggled against teams that are struggling themselves. UCF for the win.
Good luck tonight
I may have one more up later
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