Pick #1 Clemson-
With FSU missing EJ Manuel, I think Clemson may have a huge chance to capitalize with a win at home. Trickett looked ok at home against Florida State, but he will definitely be tested on the road by Clemson. Clemson defeated Auburn 38-24 last week at home. With homefeild advantage and no Manuel, I think Clemson pulls it out in a close one. Clemson by 3-7.
Confidence Rating: 65% Clemson 65% -------------><-------- FSU 35%
Possible Pick: Geno Smith Compiles more 1st half total yards-
Geno Smith already has 1008 passing yards and -3 rushing yards in a span of West Virginia's first three games against Marshall, Norfolk State and Maryland. Granted LSU is much better defensively, Smith's numbers have been inpressive. Jarrett Lee has only compiled 444 passing yards and -22 yards rushing against Oregon, Northwestern State, and Mississippi State. LSU's defense is the only thing that concerns me. Geno Smith hasn't really been tested by a great defense yet, but then again neither has Jarrett Lee. West Virginia has about as good a defense as anyone LSU has played. Geno Smith for the pick.
Confidence Rating: 65% Smith 65% -------------><--------- Lee 35%
Saturday, September 24, 2011
Friday, September 23, 2011
September 23rd Picks
Sorry this post is so late. I have been having network problems and just now have been able to get it up with no issues. I wsnt able to get this posted in time for Frankfort, but here are the other picks I feel pretty good about.
Pick #1 UCF Knights
UCF (2-1) will be on the road today against BYU (1-2). UCF's defense ranks 3rd in the nation in points against, only giving up 20 points in its first three games to Charleston Southern, Boston College and FIU. Shutting out Charleston Southern isn't increadibly impressive, but holding Boston College to 3 isn't to bad for a team who has traditionally been a pretty solid program. Their one red flag by far has been thier 17-10 loss to 3-0 FIU on the road. FIU is off to a better start than many predicted, opening with a blowout win to North Texas (41-16), followed by a win on the road to Louisville (24-17), and most recently a home win to UCF. So far FIU ranks 21st in points against, so I think UCF lost within 7 to pretty good football team.
Looking at BYU's schedule results, they beat a very poor Ole Miss team 14-13 who was blown out by Vanderbilt 30-7. Thats pretty bad. BYU only managed a 1 point win to a team (Ole Miss) who was blownout traditionally the worst team in the SEC (Vandy). In the following week, they lost to then ranked #24 Texas 17-16 on the road. Who I think at the time was very overrated with Gilbert under center (and possibly still is overrated). Still, in that kind of envroment I think BYU deserves some credit for holding up pretty well to a team with a tough home crowd. After that they were blown out 54-10 by unranked Utah at home.
Just from comparing each team's strength of schedule, I like UCF so far. But with BYU at home, this may give them an advantage they need to get a much needed win. However, BYU will need to get their running game going tonight to help out their passing game. BYU has struggled very much on the ground this season. Averaging about 48 yards a game (ranking 118th in the nation). Their passing though has been a good median, averaging about 253 yards a game (ranking 42nd in the nation). With BYU's struggling offense and UCF's good defense I'm not sure I see BYU scoring a whole lot.
UCF is averaging about 223 (ranking 23rd) rushing yards a game and 204 passing yards a game (ranking 80th). On paper, UCF seems to have a better offense and defense, plus the one team they lost to is pretty good. BYU has struggled against teams that are struggling themselves. UCF for the win.
Good luck tonight
I may have one more up later
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Pick #1 UCF Knights
UCF (2-1) will be on the road today against BYU (1-2). UCF's defense ranks 3rd in the nation in points against, only giving up 20 points in its first three games to Charleston Southern, Boston College and FIU. Shutting out Charleston Southern isn't increadibly impressive, but holding Boston College to 3 isn't to bad for a team who has traditionally been a pretty solid program. Their one red flag by far has been thier 17-10 loss to 3-0 FIU on the road. FIU is off to a better start than many predicted, opening with a blowout win to North Texas (41-16), followed by a win on the road to Louisville (24-17), and most recently a home win to UCF. So far FIU ranks 21st in points against, so I think UCF lost within 7 to pretty good football team.
Looking at BYU's schedule results, they beat a very poor Ole Miss team 14-13 who was blown out by Vanderbilt 30-7. Thats pretty bad. BYU only managed a 1 point win to a team (Ole Miss) who was blownout traditionally the worst team in the SEC (Vandy). In the following week, they lost to then ranked #24 Texas 17-16 on the road. Who I think at the time was very overrated with Gilbert under center (and possibly still is overrated). Still, in that kind of envroment I think BYU deserves some credit for holding up pretty well to a team with a tough home crowd. After that they were blown out 54-10 by unranked Utah at home.
Just from comparing each team's strength of schedule, I like UCF so far. But with BYU at home, this may give them an advantage they need to get a much needed win. However, BYU will need to get their running game going tonight to help out their passing game. BYU has struggled very much on the ground this season. Averaging about 48 yards a game (ranking 118th in the nation). Their passing though has been a good median, averaging about 253 yards a game (ranking 42nd in the nation). With BYU's struggling offense and UCF's good defense I'm not sure I see BYU scoring a whole lot.
UCF is averaging about 223 (ranking 23rd) rushing yards a game and 204 passing yards a game (ranking 80th). On paper, UCF seems to have a better offense and defense, plus the one team they lost to is pretty good. BYU has struggled against teams that are struggling themselves. UCF for the win.
Good luck tonight
I may have one more up later
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Thursday, September 22, 2011
New Picks Up Coming for September 23
Sorry there was no post today. There wasn't really anything I could justify as a good pick. I may pick Zack Collaros goes over 125 1st half yards, but I'm still undecided. I see some stuff I like for tomorrow and I will get those picks up soon.
I will get the picks up soon,
Streakhelper
Yesterday's results...
FC Honka- Won 5-2
Texas Rangers- Won 3-2
CJ Wilson record strikeout in the first- Won (threw 2)
Record for day- 3-0
Record for month- ? (I'll get it all add up soon)
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I will get the picks up soon,
Streakhelper
Yesterday's results...
FC Honka- Won 5-2
Texas Rangers- Won 3-2
CJ Wilson record strikeout in the first- Won (threw 2)
Record for day- 3-0
Record for month- ? (I'll get it all add up soon)
Email me at streakhelp@yahoo.com
Join my group, search "streakhelper" in the join group search
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
September 21st Picks
Here is one pick I really like, that I am getting up because I won't be home till about noon tomorrow. I will be busy all morning.
Pick #1 FC Honka
This looks like a very good pick. It could almost be Honka win by 2+ in some ways. Rovaniemen hasn't won or drawn on the road since May 19, 2011. Making them 0-0-9 in their last 9 away matches. Honka is 11-6-4 overall at home in 2011 Including a 1-0 home win in May over Rovanieman. Overall Honka's goal difference is +6 while Rovanieman's is -31. Thats insane. I will try to put more up on this tomorrow if I can. But in case I don't, just know that Honka is a huge favorite. I've seen them as high as -600. Absolutely ridiculous.
Pick #2 Texas Rangers
Similar scenario compared to yesterday. However, tonight the Rangers will start CJ Wilson (2.97 ERA, 16-7 record, 1.17 whip, 198 strikeouts) at pitcher, and the A's will start Brandon McCarthy (3.35 ERA, 9-8 record, 1.15 whip, 116 strikeouts). CJ Wilson looked good when he played them on 9/11. Leading Texas to a 8-1 win. In McCarthy's last start against Texas (9/9/2011), he fell well short of defeating the Rangers, losing 4-13.
(Possible) Pick #3 Wilson records a strikeout in the 1st
He strikes people out pretty often. Last time against the A's, he had two strikeouts in the first inning. your taking about a 60/40 chance in this.
Pick #1 FC Honka
This looks like a very good pick. It could almost be Honka win by 2+ in some ways. Rovaniemen hasn't won or drawn on the road since May 19, 2011. Making them 0-0-9 in their last 9 away matches. Honka is 11-6-4 overall at home in 2011 Including a 1-0 home win in May over Rovanieman. Overall Honka's goal difference is +6 while Rovanieman's is -31. Thats insane. I will try to put more up on this tomorrow if I can. But in case I don't, just know that Honka is a huge favorite. I've seen them as high as -600. Absolutely ridiculous.
Pick #2 Texas Rangers
Similar scenario compared to yesterday. However, tonight the Rangers will start CJ Wilson (2.97 ERA, 16-7 record, 1.17 whip, 198 strikeouts) at pitcher, and the A's will start Brandon McCarthy (3.35 ERA, 9-8 record, 1.15 whip, 116 strikeouts). CJ Wilson looked good when he played them on 9/11. Leading Texas to a 8-1 win. In McCarthy's last start against Texas (9/9/2011), he fell well short of defeating the Rangers, losing 4-13.
(Possible) Pick #3 Wilson records a strikeout in the 1st
He strikes people out pretty often. Last time against the A's, he had two strikeouts in the first inning. your taking about a 60/40 chance in this.
September 20th Picks
Pretty bland day for the most part. Not really any gimmes like the Wisla pick yesterday. There are a few I do like though...
Pick #1 Detroit Tigers
The Tigers will start Brad Penny on the mound today, who hasn't really put up anything impressive (5.07 ERA, 10-10 record, 1.53 whip, 71 strikeouts). He did however, manage a 3-0 victory over the Royals back in May. Pitching his best game ERA-wise with a 4.11 ERA.
The Royals will start Luis Mendoza who hasn't started a game since 2008. Posting a 8.43 ERA 4-9 record, 1.84 whip and 43 strikeouts in his MLB experience. He has done very well in the Pacific Coast League, where he won pitcher of the year and put up a 10-3 record with a 1.85 ERA. We will see how he will translate that to the majors tonight.
Detroit is a very good batting team. Ranking 4th in runs, 3rd in batting average, 5th on base and 4th in slugging percent. If Mendoza has pitched the way he has before in the majors, I think Detroit could score very quickly and often early in the game. My biggest concern is that Detroit doesn't have a whole lot to play for, besides homefield advantage (we saw how that worked out for the Phillies a couple nights ago). Also Penny says he wants to win (if that really means anything, talk is cheap), and I think he could use the win on his mediocre resume for this season. Pick with caution, but a really bad pitcher from previous games in the MLB vs. a top 5 batting team, may be a problem for the Royals.
Pick #2 Texas Rangers
Probably the best pick of the day in my opinion. After Real Sociedad, this will probably be my next pick. The Rangers will start Derek Holland on the mound today, posting a 4.02 ERA, 14-5 record, 1.38 whip and 148 strikeouts. So far Holland has been 2-1 against the A's in his five career games agianst them, posting a 1.72 overall ERA. Holland has been pretty hot lately. He looked great in his last game against the Indians which resulted in a 9-1 win and has won 3 of his last 4 starts. Texas has a lot on the line in order to make it to the postseason. I think they will do everything they can to beat Oakland tonight to help keep their hopes alive.
The A's will bring out Rich Harden, compiling a 4.76 ERA, 4-3 record, 1.37 whip and 83 strikeouts. Rich Harden lost to Texas (6-7) back in August. He gave up 5 hits and posted a 4.5 ERA.
Conclusion:
With Texas having so much to play for, and also being the better team on paper, I have to say Texas. Texas also has a great batting team. Ranking 3rd in runs, 2nd in batting average, 4th on base and 2nd in slugging percentage. It may be close but I have no reason to pick the A's. Even if Texas loses I wont regret the pick.
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Pick #1 Detroit Tigers
The Tigers will start Brad Penny on the mound today, who hasn't really put up anything impressive (5.07 ERA, 10-10 record, 1.53 whip, 71 strikeouts). He did however, manage a 3-0 victory over the Royals back in May. Pitching his best game ERA-wise with a 4.11 ERA.
The Royals will start Luis Mendoza who hasn't started a game since 2008. Posting a 8.43 ERA 4-9 record, 1.84 whip and 43 strikeouts in his MLB experience. He has done very well in the Pacific Coast League, where he won pitcher of the year and put up a 10-3 record with a 1.85 ERA. We will see how he will translate that to the majors tonight.
Detroit is a very good batting team. Ranking 4th in runs, 3rd in batting average, 5th on base and 4th in slugging percent. If Mendoza has pitched the way he has before in the majors, I think Detroit could score very quickly and often early in the game. My biggest concern is that Detroit doesn't have a whole lot to play for, besides homefield advantage (we saw how that worked out for the Phillies a couple nights ago). Also Penny says he wants to win (if that really means anything, talk is cheap), and I think he could use the win on his mediocre resume for this season. Pick with caution, but a really bad pitcher from previous games in the MLB vs. a top 5 batting team, may be a problem for the Royals.
Pick #2 Texas Rangers
Probably the best pick of the day in my opinion. After Real Sociedad, this will probably be my next pick. The Rangers will start Derek Holland on the mound today, posting a 4.02 ERA, 14-5 record, 1.38 whip and 148 strikeouts. So far Holland has been 2-1 against the A's in his five career games agianst them, posting a 1.72 overall ERA. Holland has been pretty hot lately. He looked great in his last game against the Indians which resulted in a 9-1 win and has won 3 of his last 4 starts. Texas has a lot on the line in order to make it to the postseason. I think they will do everything they can to beat Oakland tonight to help keep their hopes alive.
The A's will bring out Rich Harden, compiling a 4.76 ERA, 4-3 record, 1.37 whip and 83 strikeouts. Rich Harden lost to Texas (6-7) back in August. He gave up 5 hits and posted a 4.5 ERA.
Conclusion:
With Texas having so much to play for, and also being the better team on paper, I have to say Texas. Texas also has a great batting team. Ranking 3rd in runs, 2nd in batting average, 4th on base and 2nd in slugging percentage. It may be close but I have no reason to pick the A's. Even if Texas loses I wont regret the pick.
Email me at streakhelp@yahoo.com
Join my group, search "streakhelper" in the join group search
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And lastly be sure to become an official registered follower of this blog if you dont mind. You can do so by clicking "follow" in the top left corner of the toobar on this page.
Thanks, Streakhelper
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