October 16th Picks

Pick #1 Aaron Rogers throws for 3 touchdowns or more (NFL football)

The Packers barely run it, and usually rely on Rogers to make their big plays. He already has 14 touchdown passes in his first 5 games this season. There is really not a lot to say. With the Rams having such a poor defense, I really think Rogers can edge out 3 or 4 touchdown passes today. I have a lot of confidence in this pick, and I will probably risk my streak on it.

Pick #2 Tom Brady records more passing yards than Tony Romo (NFL football)

It seems like SM is feeling pretty generous with some of today's QB picks. Romo has looked excellent this season, but looking at the stats, Brady is your best bet. He (Brady) struggled against Oakland back in week 4, throwing for 226 yards and 2 touchdowns (not that thats bad, just for Tom Brady, you would typically expect more). In every other game however, he has thrown for well over 300+ yards. 321 yards against the Jets last week, 387 yards against Buffalo in week 3, 423 yards against San Diego in week 2, and 517 yards in an incredible performance against Miami in the season opener. His passing yards have been dropping a little since the beginning of the year, but he has still put up solid numbers.

Now here is the catch/break for Romo; New England has the worst pass defense in the NFL so far, giving up about 326 yards a game through the air. And that is where this prop loses it “lock” status. Brady is by far a much better quarterback, but Romo can be very productive as well. Add the element of the worst pass defense in the NFL, and it could be a rough pick for Brady pickers. In 4 games, Romo has thrown for 1,273 yards (passing yards in games; 342 week 1, 345 week 2, 255 week 3, 331week 4).

Now the break for Brady and Brady pickers; is that Romo is probable for todays game. No start for Romo and the pick gets pushed. If he does start there is the risk of him playing gimped up and underperforming.

At the end of the day though, I would take Brady. With him at home in a comfortable environment, Brady should be pretty relaxed. Plus if Romo is still pretty hurt, he more than likely won't play to his full potential. When Brady is relaxed, he usually catches fire.

Pick #3 Chivas USA win, draw or lose by 1 (MLS Soccer)

The LA Galaxy will go into this game resting most of their starters. LA may have them out at the beginning of the game, but I don't see LA playing starters for to long. LA has accomplished everything it needs to for the regular season, and has more to worry about in upcoming matches. They lost 0-2 in their last game to the mediocre NY Red Bulls as a result of limiting starters playing time, like today.

Chivas USA is 8-12-12 with 1pt goal difference, and has scored 36 goals this year. LA is 18-10-4 with an impressive 21 goal difference and 64 goals this season. LA is a much better team, but resting starters really brings them down to Chivas USA's level. Even if it was Chivas USA win or draw I would consider it. But giving them that 1 goal cushion really makes me feel a lot more comfortable with this pick. Chivas USA looks like the pick.

**EDIT
 Another thing I forgot to mention is that this is not even a home game for LA. Chivas USA and the Galaxy both share the same stadium. Consider it a neutral site.

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October 15th Picks

Pick #1 South Carolina Gamecocks

  The #15 ranked Gamecocks (5-1) will go into Mississippi today to face Mississipi State (3-3). The Gamecocks will start quarterback Connor Shaw after Stephen Garcia was dismissed from the team after recieving 6 suspensions. Garcia has thrown for just 844 in a span of six games, as well as thrown 9 interceptions and only 4 touchdowns this season. Connor Shaw has looked good in previous games he has played. Specifically Kentucky, where he threw for 4 touchdowns. Even if Shaw were to struggle, he has a solid defense and great running game in Marcus Lattimore (146 attempts, 779 yards, 9 TDs) to back him up. Mississpipi State has looked decent this year, and though 3-3, has had losses to quality teams (Auburn, LSU, Georgia). Unfortunately, South Carolina is another quality team. I think they are the pick here.

Pick #2 Illinois Fighting Illini

The #16 Fighting Illini will go into this game 6-0 hosting the 3-3 Ohio State Buckeyes. Similar to the Mississippi State pick, Ohio State has had quality losses besides Miami (lossed to Michigan State and Nebraska). Ohio State still has yet to win on the road after losing to Miami and Nebraska, but looks to change that today. For Illinois, in addition to a good defense, they also have managed a good offense with a running game that averages about 226 yards per game lead by dual running backs Troy Pollard and Nathan Scheelhaase. Illinois has looked impressive so far this season. I don't think very many people expected them to be 6-0 this far in the season a year ago. I think today they make it 7-0. If Ohio State had homefield advantage this would be a completely different scenario. But when the significantly better team has homefeild advantage in college football, its hard to pick against them. Illini for the win.  

October 13th and 14th results

Results for October 13th and 14th;

October 13th:
Derry City - Loss 1-0
Detroit Red Wings- Win 2-0
USC Trojans- Win 30-9

October 14th
David Toms- Win
Webb Simpson- Win
160 passing yards or more- Win (174)
San Jose Sharks- Loss 0-1

Record for last 2 days 5-2
Overall Month Record- 17-10

Thanks for following,

Streakhelper


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October 14 Picks continued

Pick #3 160 passing yards or more

  Hopefully this will end before the Sharks game (which I doubt). Hawaii is much more of a passing offense than rushing. As much as Moniz throws it, this pick has a good shot of 160 or more. So far this season he averages about 221 first half passing yards in his first 5 games. Thats pretty dang good. Over or pass on this one for me.


Pick #4 San Jose Sharks

  San Jose will go into this game 1-0-0 after an impressive 6-3 home win over Phoenix (1-1-1). Anaheim is 1-1-0 after a 1-4 loss at Buffalo in their season opener, followed by an ugly 2-1 overtime win over the New York Rangers (0-0-2). With the Ducks not playing so well in its opening games, I don't see them beating San Jose. They had a hard time against NY at home, and San Jose is much better than NY in my opinion.  San Jose should win, but since its on Streak for the Cash it may be interesting...

Pick #1 David Toms- Win
Pick #2 Webb Simpson- Win

 I know today's post writups are shorter than normal, but hopefully they get the job done. More tonight.

Clicking Ads/A couple Picks for October 14th

Hey guys, I'm trying to get 500 ad clicks by the end of the month. So if you guys dont mind clicking an ad or two that interests you (picture ads preferably), I would appreciate it. No need to go crazy clicking ads. It helps show sponsors I bring good traffic to my blog.

Next post for October 14th will be posted tomorrow afternoon with full writeups. But here are my first 2 picks...

Pick #1 (golf) David Toms or tie

Pick #2 (golf) Webb Simpson or tie

Both picks are similar. Both golfers seem to have a slightly better shot at winning than Fowler or Kuchar. But add the tie option, and its icing on the cake.

Thanks to everyone for following,

Streakhelper