October 13th Picks

Pick #1 Derry City win or draw

   Derry City will go into this game 17-12-3, scoring 63 goals and having a 37 goal difference. Shamrock is (20-8-5), with a 39 goal difference and has scored 68 goals this year. In previous matches, Derry City has looked pretty good against a very solid Shamrock team. This year Derry City drew shamrock twice (0-0 and 1-1) and won 1-0 at home back in July. They did however lose to Shamrock 1-0 on the road back in June. So, with Shamrock at home this game makes me a little nervous. Shamrock has played very well at home overall, but past records indicate Derry City has played well agianst a team with such  a high caliber team in their league. More than likely it will be a draw, or one of these teams will lose by 1. Probably Derry City.

Confidence rating: 65% in Derry City win or draw; 45% in Shamrock to win

Pick #2 Detroit Red Wings

With Detroit (2-0-0, 8pts this year) at home against Vancouver (1-1-1, 10pts this year), it is a little hard to go against Detroit at the moment. Although we don't really know where every NHL team is at, Detroit looks good right now, Vancouver looks about average. Granted, their two games struggled were against a strong Penguins and Flyers team, they still have not been able to do anything that impressive besides keeping a close 4-5 loss with the Flyers on the road. Detroit opened the season with a 5-3 win against Ottawa (1-2-0) and then followed that with a 3-0 road win against the Colorado Avalanche (2-1-0). Detroit should take this in a close one.

Confidence rating: 70% for Detroit; 30% for Vancouver

Pick #3 USC Trojans

I can't stand USC, but I think tonight I may be a fan. Amazing how SFTC can mess up your priorities in sports. Anyway, USC is 4-1 so far this year, with their lone loss came to #18 Arizona State on the road. California is 3-2, with both of their losses on the road to #9 Oregon and Washington (4-1). California so far has had quality losses, but is still in search of a quality win. Looking on paper, statistically these teams look pretty even. USC has had better looking wins against better teams, but looked awful against Arizona State in their 22-43 loss, and looked bad against a 1-5 Minnesota team in a 19-17 ugly win. All in all, I would take USC. California will definitely have an advantage playing at home, but USC should take this in a close one.

Confidence rating: 65%

ESPN's preview:

Matchup

	USC	California
W-L	4-1	3-2
Avg Points	30.0	34.6
Avg Points Allowed	26.4	28.0
Home Record	4-0	2-0
Road Record	0-1	1-2
Division Record	2-1	0-2
Conference Record	2-1	0-2
Complete Standings

Team Averages & NCAA Ranks

Offense	Team	Per Game Average / NCAA Rank
Total Yards		454.4 / 29th
		458.0 / 26th
Passing Yards		322.8 / 17th
		314.4 / 20th
Rushing Yards		136.6 / 70th
		157.6 / 57th
Points Scored		30.0 / 55th
		34.6 / 33rd
Full Team Stats: USC | California

This Week's Line

Favorite	Spread	Underdog	Over/Under
USC	3	CALIFORNIA	58
Full Daily Lines

Passing Leaders

USC	CMP%	YDS	TD	INT
M. Barkley	70.7	1587	14	4
M. Tyler	100.0	2	0	0
California	CMP%	YDS	TD	INT
Z. Maynard	51.4	1291	11	3
A. Bridgford	41.4	179	0	0

Rushing Leaders

USC	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD
M. Tyler	72	338	4.7	2
C. McNeal	24	203	8.5	1
California	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD
I. Sofele	91	499	5.5	4
C. Anderson	27	126	4.7	3

Receiving Leaders

USC	REC	YDS	AVG	TD
R. Woods	55	747	13.6	6
M. Lee	21	323	15.4	3
California	REC	YDS	AVG	TD
K. Allen	39	668	17.1	4
M. Jones	29	441	15.2	3

Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com

Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690

Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690

October 12th Picks Coming Soon

October 11th pick results-

Austria win- Loss (0-0 draw)

Any Other Result- Win (Scotland lost 1-3)

Record for day 1-1

Record for month 11-8

   After taking Deportivo, here is the last pick I think I will finish my day with. I never got around to a computer today, so today's post will be pretty plain...

Pick #1 DC United win

  DC United will go into this game with a 9-11-10 record along with an even (0) goal difference and 38 goals this season. Vancouver is 5-10-16 with a -18 goal difference and 25 goals this season. Vancouver has obviously struggled defensively this season, as well as winning at home. However they put up an impressive 3-0 home victory last week against a solid Salt Lake team. Regardless, Vancouver's home record speaks for itself (5-5-5). Next to Salt Lake their 5 wins came to pretty bad teams. The only thing I can really see Vancouver getting tonight is a draw. Which I'm not sure they can do. Last time these two teams met DC United crushed them 4-0 at home. Obviously, with them going on the road it may be a different story. Worst case scenario they draw, but I think I see them winning by 1 or 2 with ease.

 Confidence rating: 75%                   DC 75% ---------------><----- Vancouver 25%


I'll get more up tomorrow around 12:30 pm central time for afternoon/evening picks (Only 2 golf picks for morning props. I don't really care for them).

Sorry this blog has been lagging the last couple days. I've just been very busy. It gets hard to maintain this at a consistent pace after a couple weeks of activities piling up. Thanks for understanding and your support. It will be back to normal tonight.




Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com

Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690

Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690

October 11th Picks

October 10th Pick  result

Estonia W/D- Loss (Croatia scored a goal in the 88' minute on a penalty kick)

Record for month 10-7

Pick #1 Austria win

  Kazakhstan is a pretty bad team. Though Austria is not a whole lot better, Austria currently ranks 77th in the world rankings. Kazakhstan is 132nd. Kazakhstan lost to Germany on the road 4-0, while Austria lost to Germany 6-2 on the road. Austria lost to Turkey 2-0 on the road while Kazakhstan lost 2-1 on the road. Austia beat Azerbaijan 4-1 on the road while Kazakhstan lost to Azerbaijan 3-2. Kazakhstan has no chance of advancing to the finals of the 2012 Euro Cup after losing to Belgium, and Austria is also eliminated. Kazakhstan's defense has looked better than Austria's in this tourney but Austria knows how to score. This game has no substantial tournament meaning for either team. Austria (3 wins in 9 games), Kazakhstan (1 win, 8 losses in 9 games), both teams are eliminated. Also note that Austria had nothing to play for in their last match against Azerbaijan, however they finished the game with a 4-1 win. Kazakhstan lost 1-4 to Belgium in their last match. Conclusion: Austria wins 1-0.

Confidence Rating: 70%

Pick #2 Any Other Result (Scotland @ Spain)-

  Well, for starters; Scotland has a lot to play for contributing to thier finals hopes. Spain on the other hand, wouldn't be to harmed by a loss or draw. Theres no way I would say Spain loses. Worst case scenario they draw, but 3+ seems like a lot to ask for a team (Spain) that doesn't have a lot to play for. Scotland I feel will play their heart out, and will also get a little bit of releif from Spain's roster. Spain's starting goalkeeper Iker Cassillas, will be rested in today's game against Scotland. Spain defender Raul Albiol will also not be played as he nurses a fractured cheekbone. Other questionable starters for Spain include Sergio Ramos (defender) and Xabi Alonso (midfeilder). AOR seems to be the pick.

Confidence Rating: 75%

More to come. Got home late today...


Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com

Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690

Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690

October 10th Picks

October 9th pick results:

Broncos record more total yards than Phillip Rivers- Win (Broncos- 275, Rivers- 250)

Record for day 1-0
Record for month 10-6

  After having such a rough start to the month, it been nice to actaully accumulate some consistent wins. Currently this blog is on a 5 game win streak. Hopefully that trend continues...

Pick #1 Estonia Win or Draw

  Estonia looks like a good pick. I wont go into a lot of detail, but both teams have been pretty bad this year. Estonia seems to be the best of the worst though on paper. With them at home, having the draw option, and Croatia giving up so many goals this year (and only scoring 1 goal in their last 5 games), I have to take Estonia for the draw. Sorry this writeup doesn't have a lot of detail. Its hard to update from a mobile device (and oddly distracting).

Confidence rating: 70%


***Update on new picks for today

   Hey guys, I am having a hard time updating my blog from my phone. I had a couple of (long) writeups that just disappeared after I posted . Tonight I will be back on my computer and I can write my picks up for tomorrow. Stay tuned...

October 9th Picks

October 8th Results:

LSU winning margin or tied- Won (LSU wm- 30, Florida pts scored- 11)
Honduras W, D, Lose by 1- Won (lost 1-0)

Record for day 2-0
Record for month 9-6

*Possible Pick Tennessee- Loss 20-12

I'm taking today a little easy to take a bit of a break, but here is a pick I like

Pick #1 Broncos record more total yards than Phillip Rivers

  After taking Bray this morning, I think I will go with the Broncos for my next pick. The Broncos pass defense has struggled a lot so far this season, but the most of their yards given up were against very good  quarterbacks (Aaron Rogers last week and Matt Hasselback the week before). I think Phillip Rivers (another good QB) will have a successful day, but with Denver at home, I think they should put on a pretty good show. At home they have looked a lot better this season in every category. Also note that Willis McGahee ran for 103 yards last week agianst the number 2 rush defense in the NFL (Green Bay). If the Broncos can stay balanced and limit Rivers, they shouldn't have to much of a problem.

Tonight I will get my picks for tomorrow up. Everything will be back to normal tonight, I took it easy this weekend.

Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com

Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690

Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690