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Tuesday, November 8, 2011

November 8th Picks

Very short and late post today. I figured I could at least get something up.

Pick #1 Western Michigan: win or single digit loss

   Western Michigan (5-4, 3-2 in MAC) is a pretty comparable to Toledo (5-4, 4-1 MAC). Toledo thus far has played a slighlty better schedule, losing to Boise State (40-15) and Ohio State (27-22), but Western Michigan seems like they can keep up. Western Michigan lost to Michigan on the road 34-10, and lost to then ranked #23 Illinois 23-20 on the road. The only game that has me scratching my head, was their 51-22 blowout loss to Northern Illinois (6-3, 4-1 MAC). Not that I'm shocked that they lost, just that they lost so bad. Michigan State has a pretty good offense overall, averaging about 306 passing yards, 133 rushing yards and 30 points per game, ranking 31st in total offense in the nation. Toledo's defense ranks 57th overall, but gives up about 29 points a game. Western Michigan ranks 97th in defense, but allows fewer points at 25. Toledo ranks 21st in total offense. Toledo should get the win, but I think Western Michigan can keep it close.

Pick #2 Chandler Harnish gets 160 yards or more in the 1st half

 Not a full writeup, but Harnish is a big dual threat quarterback, who has thrown for 1,962 yards and rushed for 871 so far this season.

Tomorrow I'll have a full post  for November 9th Picks

Monday, November 7, 2011

November 7th Picks

November 6th results:

Stoke City won or draw- Loss (0-5)
Dallas Stars-  Win (5-2)
Eli Manning records more passing yards- Loss (250-342)
LA Galaxy win- Win (3-1)

Record for day 2-2
Record for the month- 12-5

Not a ton I like today, but here's my analysis regardless... Good Luck today whatever you decide to do

Pick #1 Murcia win

  Murcia has played a harder schedule than La Coruna, losing to the likes of Almeria, Celta Vigo, Elche and drawing against a decent Las Palmas team. La Coruna's schedule has been easier and includes road losses to FC Cartagena (20th in table), CD Alcoyano (18th) and AD Alcorcon (10th) (La Coruna ranks 8th). They did manage to keep up with Hercules (currently the top team in their table) at home in a 0-1 loss, but on the road La Coruna has struggled. Murcia has lost to much better teams in general. Since losing to Almeria, Celta Vigo and Elche at the beginning of the season (first 3 games), Murcia has gone 5-3-0, as well as 2-1-0 at home.
   Overall this season, Murcia is 5-3-3, 3 goal difference and 18 points; La Coruna is 6-1-4, 2 goal difference and 19 points. La Coruna 2-0-3 on the road this season overall. I think Murcia being at home will make the difference. Murcia seems to do a lot better at home, La Coruna is not very good on the road. Good luck whatever you do, Murcia would be my pick. The draw is the only thing that makes me nervous. I don't think Murcia will lose but we'll see.


Pick #2 Any Other Result (Valparaiso @ #16 Arizona)

    I mean really? Arizona is a good team, but the way they have played in the preseason should make you really evaluate picking them. I'm not saying they can't win by 15 or more, but Arizona seems to be a bandwagon pick, probably because of their rank and playing at home (I would guess). Maybe Arizona has just been holding back for the regular season, but Valparaiso seems to be a pretty decent (not great) team overall. Arizona should win, but I'm not sure they can manage a win by more than 15. Arizona lost to Division 2 Seattle-Pacific (who?) at home and that is something to really consider. We'll see what happens, but by current situations and outcomes, I would have to give the edge to Valparaiso. Looking forward to seeing what happens...

Pick #3 San Jose Sharks

  I may or may not write about this tonight (because I have more I want to write about), but from a glance with them at home, I like San Jose.


Pick #4 Bears: 4th Quarter Points

I know this game starts in just an hour and a half, but I kinda like it. The Bears have had a while to prepare for the Eagles and I think they might even win straight up. Likely the Eagles will pull it off, but if the Bears can at least salvage a touchdown in the 4th quarter, they should be ok. I may go with this so I can squeeze in the San Jose Sharks pick. That's why I'm putting it up




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Sunday, November 6, 2011

November 6th Picks

November 4th and 5th Results:

November 4th:

No, CMU doesn't score on first possession- Win
USC wins by 25+ - Win (25 exactly)
Dallas Stars- Win (7-6)

November 5th:

Andrew Luck: Completion- Win (20 completions-13 points for Oregon State)
Wisconsin wins by 25+ points- Win (won by 45)
Arkansas Razorbacks- Win (44-28)

Record in the last 2 days- 6-0
Record for the month- 10-3

It's been a good last couple of days

Pick #1 Stoke City win or draw

   Stoke City has played much better than Bolton in the Premier League. The only catch for Stoke City is the fatigue they may feel going into this matchup after a week of traveling for Europa play. Stoke City is 3-3-4 with a -6 goal difference and 12 points in their table. Bolton is 2-0-8 with a -14 goal difference and  6 points. Bolton has yet to win at home this season, but may have a good opportunity with a tired Stoke City team. If Bolton had the draw, I would say Bolton easy, but it's not often the better team has the draw option. Don't be shocked if Bolton wins, but Stoke City is my pick of the two.

Pick #2 Dallas Stars



Pick #3 Eli Manning records more 1st half passing yards

    The Patriots have the worst pass defense in the NFL. The Giants rank 13th, giving up about 225 yards a game. Eli and Brady have put up similar numbers passing this season, but I think the Patriots pass defense gives Eli the edge.


Pick #4 LA Galaxy win

This one was a little tough to call at first, but I like LA of the two with them at home. Though losing 1-4 to Salt lake on the road, LA managed to beat them 2-1 at home in their last meeting. LA is 19-10-5 with a 20 goal difference and 67 points, Salt Lake is 15-8-11 with an 8 goal difference and 53 points. LA has been dominant at home, going 13-5-0, including a current 9 game home winning streak (that includes their 2-1 win over Salt Lake). All 5 of LA's losses have been on the road, so obviously LA seems to have an edge with them being at home. LA and their home crowd should be excited going into this game after beating New York in their last two matches. Short writeup, but hopefully it helps give you some insight. Good luck whatever you do tonight.



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Saturday, November 5, 2011

November 5th Picks

Pick #1 Andrew Luck Completions (higher total)

On the season, Luck has had a total of 174 completions on the year, averaging about 21.7 completions per game. The least he has thrown this season, was against Washington where he threw 16 completions in a 65-21 win. Aside from Washington and San Jose State Stanford's season opener, Luck has thrown for 20 passes or more.
Stanford's defense ranks 13th in points against, allowing about 17 points per game. Oregon State ranks 90th in points for, averaging about 23 points per game, but only averaging 10 against ranked opponents (loss to Wisconsin 35-0, loss to Arizona State 35-20). Assuming Luck can complete about 20 passes, Stanford should have this. If they predominantly pass the ball, it should be a pretty easy pick, if they predominantly run, obviously it will more than likely be pretty close. I think Stanford's defense is good enough to keep Oregon State to 20 or less, and Andrew Luck is a phenomenal quarterback. Could be close, but I would take Andrew Luck.

Other notes:

*Oregon State ranks 61st in total offense
*Oregon State ranks 55th in total defense, and ranks 59th in overall pass defense

Pick #2 Wisconsin wins by 25+

Wisconsin has not been their normal selves lately in their last couple games on the road. Though struggling, they are still a great team; having a top 10 offense and defense after losing to pretty solid opponents. With them at home, I really think the Badgers should come alive today. Though Purdue is 4-4, they have not beaten anyone significant other than Illinois, who has not really beaten anyone significant besides a slightly overrated Arizona State. I'm not going to write anymore, because I'm probably going to take the Andrew Luck prop instead, but I think Wisconsin is the better pick, granted they show up like they have earlier in the year.


Pick #3 Arkansas Razorbacks

I have to take Arkansas with them at home and with South Carolina's Marcus Lattimore out. South Carolina Struggled in Knoxville last week against the Vols in a 14-3 win. In fact, It was a closer than the actual score of the game. Tennessee's offense was horrible that night, turning the ball over inside the 5 with the potential of a scoring opportunity. With South Carolina playing so poorly against a struggling Tennessee team, I don't think they will perform much better playing at Arkansas. Though Arkansas struggled last week in a 31-28 win against Vandy, you have to remember Vanderbilt has really improved from last season. Along with Lattimore, South Carolina has a lot of players out due to injuries and their original starting quarterback Stephen Garcia was kicked of the team after 6 team violations. Connor Shaw has had little production in his last couple starts on the road to Tennessee and Mississippi State. I think Arkansas should be able to capitalize on a gimped up South Carolina team. Good luck either way.

Good luck whatever you choose today

More tonight...


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Friday, November 4, 2011

November 4th Picks

November 3rd results:

22 points or more- Loss (17)
LA Galaxy win- Win (2-1)

Blog record for the month 4-3

   Sorry such a late post. Power went out last night and my internet was down for a while. I ended up passing in both picks last night after I took 3 or more players to score a touchdown. After the risk payed off, it put me at W5 and so I obviously decided to pass on 22 points or more because FSU had put up such a big lead (I figured they would slow down and BC couldn't score), and LA I just passed because I had my win for the day and I wasn't to sure of their gameplan.

Pick #1 No: CMU doesn't score on its first possession

    CMU ranks 93th in points per game, averaging about 23 (22.8). Kent State's defense ranks 58th in points against, giving up about 26 points a game (26.4) and ranking 32nd in defense nationally. Kent State's defense seems very good for a 2-6 team. It's mainly thier offense that is the weakness of the team ranking near the bottom of the nation in passing yards (117th), rushing yards (117th) and scoring (119th). I think if CMU starts with the ball, this will be a very good pick. If Kent State starts with the ball and doesn't capitalize to somehow spot CMU with great feild position, No picks might be in trouble. The coinflip may greatly influence this prop.

Pick #2 USC wins by 25+

  Aside from Arizona State and Minnesota, USC has played very well this season. They played like a top 10 team against Stanford, and hopefully they do so tonight. Kiffin likes to score as many points as he can. Though only averaging about 32 points a game as a top 25 team, USC is really coming together since Arizona State. Blowout wins to rivals California and Notre Dame on the road, as well as coming short of beating Stanford in 3 OTs, should tell you USC is different from the team that opened the year with an ugly 19-17 victory over Minnesota.
   To add to that, Colorado is a pretty bad team. They sit at 1-8, 0-5 in the PAC-12, and rank 110th in points for, 117th in points against; and 100th in total defense and 98th in total offense. It may or may not be close, but I think USC wins between 20-30 (which is vague, I know). I would feel better about going with 25 or more.

Pick #3 Dallas Stars


 No writeup, but it is a little hard to go against them at home in this scenario. Could go either way, but I would take Dallas if you made me choose.

Good Luck whatever you do tonight


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