October 23rd Pick results:
Cleveland Browns- Win (6-3)
Steelers: Winning Margin or Tie- Win (12-4)
Green Bay wins by double digits- Loss (won by 6)
Record for day 2-1
Record for month 32-21
I will have more picks up tomorrow, but here is one I like right now.
Pick #1 Torino win
That is, I think I like Torino to win. Oddly, even with Torino at the very top of their table, and Gubbio at the very bottom, Torino still isn't as heavily favored as you think. I'm really not sure why right now, I havn't really seen anything significant with Torino as far as injuries or suspentions go with their squad. If most everybody gets played, they should be perfectly fine in this match. Maybe I'm just overthinking, but either way I like Torino. Torino is 8-2-0 right now with a 10 goal difference and has scored 26 goals in just 10 games. Gubbio is on the other end of the spectrum, with a 1-4-5 record, -11 goal difference and just 7 goals. I just dont see what there is to dislike. Other than the fact that its on Streak for the Cash, so it will probably be close (Just kidding. I hope...). Typically games that have a home team with a draw option are pretty close, but I just cant go against a pick that features the best against the worst. This is like David and Goliath, except David seems to be tied to a chair. I think Torino will probably pull it off.
This blog Is dedicated to helping you maintain and begin a streak for ESPN's Streak for the Cash, by only picking games that have high odds or I feel has a good shot at being a win. I will not be blogging about every pick, only the 1-4 picks I feel will be a win. Overall, this blog has been 143-59 overall (*last updated December 1st*)
Total Pageviews
Sunday, October 23, 2011
October 23rd Picks
October 22nd Results:
West Brom win or draw- Win (won 2-1)
Auburn vs. LSU AOR- Loss (LSU won 45-10)
Texas A&M winning margin- Loss (by one point, won 33-17, winning margin was 16 but needed 17)
USC win or single digit loss- Win (31-17)
36 yards or more (longest td of 2nd half)- Win (58 yards)
Record for day 3-2
Blog record for month 30-20
Sorry I never wrote anything up for USC or 36 yards or more. I just never got around to it. I have a few today I will get up with pretty short writeups. I'm going to take it easy today.
Pick #1 Cleveland Browns
This one goes up just for the sake of a noon pick. With the Browns at home though, I think they should take this. A note for both teams; Seahawks QB Tavaris Jackson is probable, as well as RB Peyton Hillis from Cleveland.
Pick #2 Steelers Winning Margin or tie
The only reason I'm putting this up is because as far as yards allowed, the Steelers rank 1st in the NFL only giving up about 157 passing yards a game. Obviously the Steelers have a great pass defense, so will it be enough to hold Fitzgerald? Maybe. The other concern is whether the Steelers can even win. The Steelers are 4-2, with a very impressive 38-17 win over the Titans back on October 9th. The Cardinals have not won since their season opener against the struggling Carolina Panthers. Fitzgerald is averaging about 5 catches a game. I'm not sure what that means going against a pass defense like the Steelers, but logic says he will probably get about 5 tops, unless they throw it to him most of the game. if the Steelers can win by at least a touchdown I think they will be fine. One thing that concerns me, is the NFL's tendancy to have such close games no matter who is playing. I think the best odds go to Pittsburg though.
Pick #3 Green Bay Packers win by double digits
Packers are hot right now. Sitting at 6-0 and going up against a bad pass defense, I think they should win by double digits. Also, the Vikings have struggled big time in their passing game. Only averaging about 168 yards a game through the air. AP is about all they have, and that may be all the Packers need to worry about.
More to come...
Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com
Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690
Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690
Saturday, October 22, 2011
October 22nd Picks
Pick #1 West Brom win or draw
West Brom will go into this game 2-2-4 with a -3 goal difference and 9 goals this season. Villa is 2-5-1 with 1 goal difference and 10 goals. Villa's team is a draw machine. So far at home this season, they are 2-2-0, with thier only 2 home wins coming to Blackburn and Wigan; the two worst team in their league. West Brom is a lot better than either team (Wigan and Blackburn). I just don't see how this is so one-sided on Villa's part with the pickers. It just rose from the 80s % to the 90s %. Should be pretty 50/50, but I have been hurt pretty bad by the draw option lately on Streak for the Cash, so I have to take West Brom for a draw. Should end a draw or maybe a one point Villa win. West Brom is my pick.
Pick #2 #20 Auburn Tigers vs #1 LSU Tigers; Any Other Result
Auburn is still a pretty good football team even after losing key players from last year. Even with them going into a hostile enviroment like LSU's Tiger Stadiun, I really think Auburn can keep it within 20. True they lost by 24 a couple weeks ago on the road to then ranked #10 Arkansas, but check the week before. They beat then-ranked #10 South Carolina 16-13, giving the Gamecocks their only loss this season. Plus, LSU is without leading rusher Spencer Ware and defensive star Tyrann Mathieu due to suspentions. LSU and Auburn is also a pretty big rivalry. I don't think Auburn wants to embarrass themselves on national tv. Rivalries tend to be close. I think LSU wins by about 14.
Pick #3 Texas A&M winning margin
Iowa State has lost to Texas, Baylor and Missouri by a combined scored of 138-57. Texas A&M (4-1, 2-1 in Big 12), has lost to Oklahama State by 1 point (30-29) and a last touchdown loss to Arkansas 42-38. Texas A&M is a high scoring team, and Iowa State ranks 116th out of 120 teams in points allowed. Texas A&M should be ok.
Pick #4 USC win or single digit loss
Pick #5 36 yards or more
More Coming...
Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com
Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690
Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690
West Brom will go into this game 2-2-4 with a -3 goal difference and 9 goals this season. Villa is 2-5-1 with 1 goal difference and 10 goals. Villa's team is a draw machine. So far at home this season, they are 2-2-0, with thier only 2 home wins coming to Blackburn and Wigan; the two worst team in their league. West Brom is a lot better than either team (Wigan and Blackburn). I just don't see how this is so one-sided on Villa's part with the pickers. It just rose from the 80s % to the 90s %. Should be pretty 50/50, but I have been hurt pretty bad by the draw option lately on Streak for the Cash, so I have to take West Brom for a draw. Should end a draw or maybe a one point Villa win. West Brom is my pick.
Pick #2 #20 Auburn Tigers vs #1 LSU Tigers; Any Other Result
Auburn is still a pretty good football team even after losing key players from last year. Even with them going into a hostile enviroment like LSU's Tiger Stadiun, I really think Auburn can keep it within 20. True they lost by 24 a couple weeks ago on the road to then ranked #10 Arkansas, but check the week before. They beat then-ranked #10 South Carolina 16-13, giving the Gamecocks their only loss this season. Plus, LSU is without leading rusher Spencer Ware and defensive star Tyrann Mathieu due to suspentions. LSU and Auburn is also a pretty big rivalry. I don't think Auburn wants to embarrass themselves on national tv. Rivalries tend to be close. I think LSU wins by about 14.
Pick #3 Texas A&M winning margin
Iowa State has lost to Texas, Baylor and Missouri by a combined scored of 138-57. Texas A&M (4-1, 2-1 in Big 12), has lost to Oklahama State by 1 point (30-29) and a last touchdown loss to Arkansas 42-38. Texas A&M is a high scoring team, and Iowa State ranks 116th out of 120 teams in points allowed. Texas A&M should be ok.
Pick #4 USC win or single digit loss
Pick #5 36 yards or more
More Coming...
Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com
Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690
Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690
Friday, October 21, 2011
October 21st Picks
October 20th picks results:
Jeff Overton- Win
Lazio win- Loss (1-1 draw)
Philadelphia Union win or draw- Loss (0-1)
Arizona Wildcats- Win (48-12)
Record for day 2-2
Record for month 26-16
My soccer picks have had some pretty crazy twists to them the last few days. Bayern scored an own goal a couple days ago giving Napoli their only goal in a 1-1 draw, Arsenal scored a last minute goal yesterday to win 1-0, and today Lazio gave up a goal 30 seconds after scoring in a 1-1 draw to Zurich. Pretty ironic games. All lead to reds for me. Gotta love (hate) Streak for the Cash :p
Thanks for following and hopefully I do better than I have lately,
Streakhelper
Jeff Overton- Win
Lazio win- Loss (1-1 draw)
Philadelphia Union win or draw- Loss (0-1)
Arizona Wildcats- Win (48-12)
Record for day 2-2
Record for month 26-16
My soccer picks have had some pretty crazy twists to them the last few days. Bayern scored an own goal a couple days ago giving Napoli their only goal in a 1-1 draw, Arsenal scored a last minute goal yesterday to win 1-0, and today Lazio gave up a goal 30 seconds after scoring in a 1-1 draw to Zurich. Pretty ironic games. All lead to reds for me. Gotta love (hate) Streak for the Cash :p
Pick #1 Werder Bremen win (sorry for the late notice)
This game starts in 20 minutes, so hopefully most of you will be able to read this in time. Werner Bremen is currently off to a pretty good start this season at 5-1-3, 4 goal difference and 16 goals this season, while Augsburg has struggled after a 1-4-4 record, -9 goal difference and just 7 goals going into this game. Werder Bremen ranks 5th right now in their Bundesliga table, and Augsburg is near the bottom at 16th out of 18 teams. The thing that concerns me most, is that Bremen has struggled winning on the road (1-1-3 in road games), whereas at home they have dominated pretty well (4-0-1) in home games). Good news for Bremen though, is that Augsburg has yet to win at home (0-2-2 in home games). So I have to roll with Bremen just because they are the better team thus far. Bremen is my pick.
Pick #2 Rutgers Scarlet Knights
The Scarlet Knights will go into this game 5-1, 2-0 in the Big East, after a close call against Navy last weekend, in a 21-20 win. Right now they are looking better than Louisville (2-4, 0-1 Big East), despite some ugly wins to mediocre teams. Louisville's only wins have come to Murray State in a 21-9 victory, and a 24-17 win over Kentucky (2-4, 0-3 in SEC). Both teams have top 20 defenses as far as points allowed, with Louisville ranked 16th in points against and Rutgers ranking 11th. Louisville is 1-2 so far at home this year, with their lone home win coming from Murray State. The Scarlet Knights are 1-1 on the road, with a 22-24 loss to North Carolina, and a 19-16 overtime win at Syracuse. Rutgers has not looked pretty on the road, but they have found ways to win so far this year. I don't think this will be a blowout or anything, but I like the Rutgers to win in probably a close one.
Pick #3 Geno Smith 155 yards or more passing yards in the first half
West Virginia ranks 3rd in the nation in passing yards per game, averaging about 380 passing yards a game. Syracuse ranks 111th in pass defense out of 120 teams, giving up about 293 yards a game. Over looks pretty good.
Thanks for following and hopefully I do better than I have lately,
Streakhelper
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
October 20th Picks
October 19th Results:
Marseille- Loss (by a last minute goal)
Toronto Maple Leafs- Win (4-3)
Record for day 1-1
Record for month 24-14
Still been a pretty rough month. I will get all my picks up around noon for tomorrow, but here is a pick I really like...
Pick #1 Jeff Overton lower score or tie
Much better golfer, but add the tie option, and it makes for a solid pick.
Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com
Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690
Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690
Marseille- Loss (by a last minute goal)
Toronto Maple Leafs- Win (4-3)
Record for day 1-1
Record for month 24-14
Still been a pretty rough month. I will get all my picks up around noon for tomorrow, but here is a pick I really like...
Pick #1 Jeff Overton lower score or tie
Much better golfer, but add the tie option, and it makes for a solid pick.
Pick #2 Lazio win
Another brief preview, but with the way Lazio (3-2-1, 2 goal difference, 11 goals in their table) has been playing lately, its a little hard to go against them. Their only recent losses came to a very solid Sporting Lisbon team who is currently 4-2-1 with a 5 goal difference and 14 goals in their table, and also lost to Genoa 1-2 about a month ago. Zurich is 3-1-6, 0 goal difference and 10 goals in their Super League table. With them having the draw option and them being at home, it might get interesting. But overall, I have more reason to go with Lazio as long as they play a good and healthy lineup.
Pick #3 Philadelphia Union win or draw
The reason so many are going with the New York Red Bulls, is because they still need a win to make the playoffs. With them at home, it isn’t out of the question, but lets look a little deeper into the matchup. Philadelphia is 11-15-7, 9 goal difference and has scored 48 goals this season; compared to the NY Red Bulls 9-16-8 record, 5 goal difference and 43 goals. These teams are pretty evenly matched, but a slight edge has to be given to the Union overall. The Union have not lost in 8 games, and as comparable as the Red Bulls are to the union, The Red Bulls will be without their leading scorer Thierry Henry, who has scored 14 of New York's goals this season. The Red Bulls next top scorer is Luke Rogers, who has scored 9 goals. So taking Henry out of the mix will definitely not help the them. Also, Philadelphia still has a little to play for despite already qualifying for the playoffs. Philadelphia can still play for a higher seed and even if the Red Bulls draw, they still have a shot. So this game isn't a win or die scenario for New York. This game should at least end in a draw for the Union.
Pick #4 Arizona Wildcats
Such a tough game to call, but I have to say the slight edge goes to Arizona. Mainly since they are at home. Both teams have lost to some very strong opponents. Arizona (1-5, 0-4 in PAC 12) has lost to Oklahoma State, Stanford, Oregon and USC (5-1); all of which were in the top 10 at the time besides USC. They did however, have a pretty embarrassing 27-37 loss to Oregon State. UCLA (3-3, 2-1 PAC 12) has lost to Texas, Stanford and Houston who is currently undefeated and ranked #19 in the nation. They have not beat anyone impressive, but one notable win did come to Oregon State who beat Arizona 37-27. UCLA has no major injuries to worry about, but defensive back Jamie Graham is questionable (knee injury). Arizona free safety Adam Hall has been declared out for the season after re-injuring his knee as well (ACL). Arizona has played without him a good amount of the season though. I think Arizona wins in a close game. Their passing attack is really all they have, and hopefully they can get it going early and throughout the game.
Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com
Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690
Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)