October 11th Picks

October 10th Pick  result

Estonia W/D- Loss (Croatia scored a goal in the 88' minute on a penalty kick)

Record for month 10-7

Pick #1 Austria win

  Kazakhstan is a pretty bad team. Though Austria is not a whole lot better, Austria currently ranks 77th in the world rankings. Kazakhstan is 132nd. Kazakhstan lost to Germany on the road 4-0, while Austria lost to Germany 6-2 on the road. Austria lost to Turkey 2-0 on the road while Kazakhstan lost 2-1 on the road. Austia beat Azerbaijan 4-1 on the road while Kazakhstan lost to Azerbaijan 3-2. Kazakhstan has no chance of advancing to the finals of the 2012 Euro Cup after losing to Belgium, and Austria is also eliminated. Kazakhstan's defense has looked better than Austria's in this tourney but Austria knows how to score. This game has no substantial tournament meaning for either team. Austria (3 wins in 9 games), Kazakhstan (1 win, 8 losses in 9 games), both teams are eliminated. Also note that Austria had nothing to play for in their last match against Azerbaijan, however they finished the game with a 4-1 win. Kazakhstan lost 1-4 to Belgium in their last match. Conclusion: Austria wins 1-0.

Confidence Rating: 70%

Pick #2 Any Other Result (Scotland @ Spain)-

  Well, for starters; Scotland has a lot to play for contributing to thier finals hopes. Spain on the other hand, wouldn't be to harmed by a loss or draw. Theres no way I would say Spain loses. Worst case scenario they draw, but 3+ seems like a lot to ask for a team (Spain) that doesn't have a lot to play for. Scotland I feel will play their heart out, and will also get a little bit of releif from Spain's roster. Spain's starting goalkeeper Iker Cassillas, will be rested in today's game against Scotland. Spain defender Raul Albiol will also not be played as he nurses a fractured cheekbone. Other questionable starters for Spain include Sergio Ramos (defender) and Xabi Alonso (midfeilder). AOR seems to be the pick.

Confidence Rating: 75%

More to come. Got home late today...


Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com

Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690

Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690

October 10th Picks

October 9th pick results:

Broncos record more total yards than Phillip Rivers- Win (Broncos- 275, Rivers- 250)

Record for day 1-0
Record for month 10-6

  After having such a rough start to the month, it been nice to actaully accumulate some consistent wins. Currently this blog is on a 5 game win streak. Hopefully that trend continues...

Pick #1 Estonia Win or Draw

  Estonia looks like a good pick. I wont go into a lot of detail, but both teams have been pretty bad this year. Estonia seems to be the best of the worst though on paper. With them at home, having the draw option, and Croatia giving up so many goals this year (and only scoring 1 goal in their last 5 games), I have to take Estonia for the draw. Sorry this writeup doesn't have a lot of detail. Its hard to update from a mobile device (and oddly distracting).

Confidence rating: 70%


***Update on new picks for today

   Hey guys, I am having a hard time updating my blog from my phone. I had a couple of (long) writeups that just disappeared after I posted . Tonight I will be back on my computer and I can write my picks up for tomorrow. Stay tuned...

October 9th Picks

October 8th Results:

LSU winning margin or tied- Won (LSU wm- 30, Florida pts scored- 11)
Honduras W, D, Lose by 1- Won (lost 1-0)

Record for day 2-0
Record for month 9-6

*Possible Pick Tennessee- Loss 20-12

I'm taking today a little easy to take a bit of a break, but here is a pick I like

Pick #1 Broncos record more total yards than Phillip Rivers

  After taking Bray this morning, I think I will go with the Broncos for my next pick. The Broncos pass defense has struggled a lot so far this season, but the most of their yards given up were against very good  quarterbacks (Aaron Rogers last week and Matt Hasselback the week before). I think Phillip Rivers (another good QB) will have a successful day, but with Denver at home, I think they should put on a pretty good show. At home they have looked a lot better this season in every category. Also note that Willis McGahee ran for 103 yards last week agianst the number 2 rush defense in the NFL (Green Bay). If the Broncos can stay balanced and limit Rivers, they shouldn't have to much of a problem.

Tonight I will get my picks for tomorrow up. Everything will be back to normal tonight, I took it easy this weekend.

Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com

Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690

Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690

October 8th Picks

October 7th pick results-

Sweden- Won 2-1
Italy-  Won (1-1 draw)

Record for day 2-0
Record for the month 7-6

Pick #1 LSU Winning Margin or tie

  Florida struggled to score severely last week at home. With them on the road to face another outstanding defense, I don't expect them to perform better than last week's 38-10 loss at home to Alabama. Not to mention Florida will be without John Brantley. Even last week with Brantley, Florida just could not get on the board often enough to keep up. Maybe Charlie Weis has come up with something to help their freshman QB Jeff Driskel, but I just don't see it happening.

Confidence rating: 82%

Pick #2 Honduras Win, Draw, Lose by 1

 This will be brief, but Honduras for sure. Not a huge amount of confidence, but plenty to pick them. The US men's team has really struggled lately. Even with it being a friendly, I do not think the US will win by 2+. The outcome should be between a draw to a 1 point loss for Hunduras. Also, the US will be without Landon Donovan as well, and that will not help thier case.
   The US has looked pretty bad in friendlies, going 0-3-4 since January. Honduras has gone 1-2-4. Even if the US wins, I just dont see it being by more than 1. I think the US will experiment today with some new players as well. Win or lose, Honduras for the pick.

Confidence rating: 79%

Possible Pick- Tennessee

   As a huge Tennessee fan, I just couldn't resist putting this game up. Tennessee (3-1) will host the Georgia Bulldogs (3-2) tonight in Neyland Stadium. The Vols passing attack this year has been phenomenal. Tennessee quarterback Tyler Bray, is averaging about 336 passing yards a game. His worse game came to the Gators after throwing for 288 yards, 3 tds and 2 interceptions in a 33-23 loss in Gainesville.
    Georgia's Aaron Murray has looked pretty good himself. Completing 83 of 135 for 1100 yards and 13 touchdowns. But the real story has been in Georgia's runnning game, featuring freshman running back Isaiah Crowell. Crowell has run for 515 yards on 99 carries (5.2 ypc) and 2 tds (surprisingly low), with Junior support running back Carlton Thomas rushing the ball 28 times for 143 yards (5.1 ypc) and 2 tds. Defensively, both teams are almost identical, allowing about 20 pts per game.
     One of my biggest concerns is Tennessee being without reciever Justin Hunter. The Vols played fine last week without him in their 41-10 romp over Buffalo at home, but I still feel it might be a factor. The Bulldogs have been beaten pretty bad in their last 2 trips to Knoxville. 2007 they lost 35-14, and in 2009 they lost 45-19. As well as many SEC stadiums, Neyland Stadium isn't an easy place to play. With their seating capacity just over 103,000, I think the Vols will have a huge 12th man advantage and may even be the deciding factor of the game. My prediction? Tennesee 30, Georgia 27.

Final thoughts: Tennessee 30, Georgia 27: The Bulldogs have a more balanced offense, and superior defensive statistics. But they haven't faced a passer of Tyler Bray's caliber since Boise State's Kellen Moore riddled them in the season opener.

Neyland Stadium should be a factor. The Bulldogs have lost 10 of their last 17 games away from Sanford Stadium.

Confidence rating: 65%

Sorry this post didn't get up till noon, but I changed my mind on some picks and wanted to put some thought into my predictions. I will have more up. I just havn't decided what else I like tonight.

Thanks to everyone following,

Streakhelper

October 7th Picks

October 6th Pick Results

Rori Sabbatini- Loss (by one stroke 37-36)
New York Yankees- Loss 2-3

Blog record for Month 5-6

 This has definitely been the toughest month for this blog. This is the first day this blog hasn't had at least one win since it started back in August. Tomorrow's picks look a lot better though. I'll put more up on each pick tomorrow. I just don't have a lot of time tonight.

Pick #1 Sweden Win

  This is a pretty good pick that I actually feel good about. Really the first pick I've felt good about in the last couple days. For starters, Sweden beat Finland 5-0 in their last Euro qualifying. Thats a pretty large margin. Also the only team Sweden has struggled against lately (2 losses) is a very talented (8-0-0) Netherlands team. Thats all I am going to write on the game for now, just know it is a pretty good pick. Pretty heavily favored as well.

Pick #2- Italy Win or Draw

  Italy will be sitting quite a few key players out since they have already qualified. Even with their B team however, I think they have a good shot at ending the game with a draw. They still have a decent lineup. Still, Serbia shouldn't be underestimated with a pretty full squad. Don't risk a big streak on it, but Italy for the draw (or possibly win)

Much more to come.

Email: streakhelp@yahoo.com

Group: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/group?groupID=189776&entryID=4321690

Personal Entry: http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=4321690