February 16th Picks

Pick #1 LA Clippers

 The Clippers (18-9) are 6-3 this month (9-3 since 1/26/12), with 7 of those 9 games being on the road. Portland (16-14) is 4-5 for February (5-7 since 1/25/12), with 5 of their 9 games being played at home. Overall, both teams matchup pretty equally, with LA ranking 5th in ppg, 16th in rebounds, 8th in assists and 18th in points allowed. Portland ranks 7th in points, 17th in rebounds, 9th in assists and 12th in points allowed. I give the edge to LA just for their recent production. Over the past few weeks, they have accumulated a significantly better record than Portland with most of those game being on the road. Most of Portland's games were at home. Expect a close game but I think the Clippers prevail.

Accuscore analysis


The Portland Trail Blazers are slight 50.2 percent favorites over the LA Clippers. The Clippers are shooting 46.8 percent from the field and the Trail Blazers are forecasted to shoot 44.8 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Clippers projected for 41.3 rebounds vs. 40.6 for the Trail Blazers. Turnovers are pretty even with the Clippers projected for 13.6 turnovers vs. 13.4 for the Trail Blazers. The Clippers are making 5.6 three pointers on 35.7 percent from three point range. The Trail Blazers are making 7.4 three pointers on 35.5 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Blake Griffin 22.4, Jamal Crawford 17.5 ASSISTS: Chris Paul 9.3, Raymond Felton 7.1 REBOUNDS: Blake Griffin 10.5, Marcus Camby 11.1 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at POR 2 TOTAL 188.5. WIN-LOSS LA Clippers 18-9 Portland Trail Blazers 16-14 ATS LA Clippers 17-10 Sweat Barometer -2.3 Portland Trail Blazers 16-14 Sweat Barometer 0.6 OVER-UNDER LA Clippers 14-13 Avg Over/Under Line 3 Portland Trail Blazers 14-15 Avg Over/Under Line 0.9 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS LA Clippers 12-14 Portland Trail Blazers 15-12 OVER-UNDER PICKS LA Clippers 18-8 Portland Trail Blazers 13-14

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: LA Clippers

LA Clippers	ATS RECORD	Portland Trail Blazers	ATS RECORD	ATS EDGE
Record on the Road	7-6, 54% 100	Record at Home	11-4, 73% 700	Portland Trail Blazers
VS Portland Trail Blazers	1-1, 50% -10	VS LA Clippers	1-1, 50% -10	EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better	11-7, 61% 330	vs Team .500 or Better	7-9, 44% -290	LA Clippers
Record as Road Favorite	5-1, 83% 390	Record as Home Underdog	0-1, 0% -110	LA Clippers
Playing Back-to-Back Days	5-2, 71% +280	Playing Back-to-Back Days	4-6, 40% -260	LA Clippers

Good luck tonight whatever you do.

I won't have a post up for tomorrow (2/17/12) but I will get a post up for Saturday (2/18/12). Sorry these post are so late in the day, Saturday I'm going to try to get a post up around noon (or sooner if possible). I've been extremely busy lately.

February 15 picks

Pick #1 Oklahoma City Thunder

February 14th Picks

Pick #1 Braga win- No writeup (just a pick that looks pretty promising to me. Braga is much better than Besiktas and they are at home)

Pick #2 LA Lakers

    The Lakers are just to good at home for me to confidently go against them. Also, the Hawks havn't been themselves lately. This month they are just 2-4, with 5 of those 6 games being at home. LA is 3-3, but has been on the road all of February, so being at home tonight should hopefully help them going into this game. The Lakers are 11-2 playing at home with the Hawks at 9-5 on the road. The Lakers are pretty big favorites in the public eye. Here is some stuff I dug up on accuscore...


"The LA Lakers are solid 70.1 percent favorites over the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are shooting 41.1 percent from the field and the Lakers are forecasted to shoot 44 percent. The Lakers have the rebounding advantage at 45.3 to 39.7. Turnovers are pretty even with the Hawks projected for 13.8 turnovers vs. 13.9 for the Lakers. The Hawks are making 5.4 three pointers on 33.2 percent from three point range. The Lakers are making 5.5 three pointers on 33 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Joe Johnson 17, Kobe Bryant 25.1 ASSISTS: Joe Johnson 5.2, Kobe Bryant 5.7 REBOUNDS: Josh Smith 9.1, Andrew Bynum 12.4 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at LAL -5.5 TOTAL 178. WIN-LOSS Atlanta Hawks 18-10 LA Lakers 16-12 ATS Atlanta Hawks 14-14 Sweat Barometer 2.2 LA Lakers 12-16 Sweat Barometer -0.4 OVER-UNDER Atlanta Hawks 11-16 Avg Over/Under Line 3.7 LA Lakers 11-17 Avg Over/Under Line -3 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Atlanta Hawks 19-9 LA Lakers 17-9 OVER-UNDER PICKS Atlanta Hawks 17-10 LA Lakers 13-14

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: LA Lakers

Atlanta Hawks	ATS RECORD	LA Lakers	ATS RECORD	ATS EDGE
Record on the Road	9-5, 64% 400	Record at Home	11-2, 85% 900	LA Lakers
VS LA Lakers	0-0 No Games	VS Atlanta Hawks	0-0 No Games	N/A
vs Team .500 or Better	5-9, 36% -490	vs Team .500 or Better	9-9, 50% -90	LA Lakers
Record As Road Underdog	2-4, 33% -240	Record As Home Favorite	11-1, 92% 990	LA Lakers
After 1 or More Days Off	8-13, 38% -630	After 1 or More Days Off	9-9, 50% -90	LA Lakers"

Good luck tonight whatever you do

February 13th Picks

Pick #1 Kansas Jayhawks


    This is probably the best pick for tonight I think. This one may not be a lopsided as these teams last meeting (Jayhawks won 67-49), but Kansas should have them. With Kansas (20-5) healthy and being a very well rounded team, KSU (17-7) will have their hands full tonight. Lucky for them they will have a home crowd helping them out. KSU has only lost three times at home this season, however I just don't think playing at home will be enough to pull it out. This probably won't be a runaway for Kansas, but Kansas looks good to me. Good luck tonight.

Picks for tomorrow in progress

February 12th Picks

Pick #1 Memphis Grizzlies

   
        Memphis at home. That would be the main reason. The other reason would be the Jazz's 2-7 road record. Memphis (14-13) is 9-4 at home so far this season, hosting Utah (13-12). The Jazz have a pretty good offense (10th in points, 15th in assists), however I think the Grizzlies defense should counter pretty well with a defense allowing 91.7 points a game (8th in NBA). These teams match up pretty well overall,  however, Utah has been cold so far this month. Winning just 1 out of their last 6 games, and losing their last three games going into Memphis. Memphis hasn't exactly been hot lately, but they certainly havn't been cold either. They are 3-3 so far for February, not to mention winning thier last two home games on Wednesday and Friday to the Timberwolves and the Pacers.
         I don't usually look at odds for games on SFTC, however Memphis is a 6.5 point favorite, so oddsmakers seem to like them as well. Memphis looks pretty good to me right now with them performing well at home, and Utah performing poorly on the road. Good luck whatever you do.