February 14th Picks

Pick #1 Braga win- No writeup (just a pick that looks pretty promising to me. Braga is much better than Besiktas and they are at home)

Pick #2 LA Lakers

    The Lakers are just to good at home for me to confidently go against them. Also, the Hawks havn't been themselves lately. This month they are just 2-4, with 5 of those 6 games being at home. LA is 3-3, but has been on the road all of February, so being at home tonight should hopefully help them going into this game. The Lakers are 11-2 playing at home with the Hawks at 9-5 on the road. The Lakers are pretty big favorites in the public eye. Here is some stuff I dug up on accuscore...


"The LA Lakers are solid 70.1 percent favorites over the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are shooting 41.1 percent from the field and the Lakers are forecasted to shoot 44 percent. The Lakers have the rebounding advantage at 45.3 to 39.7. Turnovers are pretty even with the Hawks projected for 13.8 turnovers vs. 13.9 for the Lakers. The Hawks are making 5.4 three pointers on 33.2 percent from three point range. The Lakers are making 5.5 three pointers on 33 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Joe Johnson 17, Kobe Bryant 25.1 ASSISTS: Joe Johnson 5.2, Kobe Bryant 5.7 REBOUNDS: Josh Smith 9.1, Andrew Bynum 12.4 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at LAL -5.5 TOTAL 178. WIN-LOSS Atlanta Hawks 18-10 LA Lakers 16-12 ATS Atlanta Hawks 14-14 Sweat Barometer 2.2 LA Lakers 12-16 Sweat Barometer -0.4 OVER-UNDER Atlanta Hawks 11-16 Avg Over/Under Line 3.7 LA Lakers 11-17 Avg Over/Under Line -3 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Atlanta Hawks 19-9 LA Lakers 17-9 OVER-UNDER PICKS Atlanta Hawks 17-10 LA Lakers 13-14

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: LA Lakers

Atlanta Hawks	ATS RECORD	LA Lakers	ATS RECORD	ATS EDGE
Record on the Road	9-5, 64% 400	Record at Home	11-2, 85% 900	LA Lakers
VS LA Lakers	0-0 No Games	VS Atlanta Hawks	0-0 No Games	N/A
vs Team .500 or Better	5-9, 36% -490	vs Team .500 or Better	9-9, 50% -90	LA Lakers
Record As Road Underdog	2-4, 33% -240	Record As Home Favorite	11-1, 92% 990	LA Lakers
After 1 or More Days Off	8-13, 38% -630	After 1 or More Days Off	9-9, 50% -90	LA Lakers"

Good luck tonight whatever you do

February 13th Picks

Pick #1 Kansas Jayhawks


    This is probably the best pick for tonight I think. This one may not be a lopsided as these teams last meeting (Jayhawks won 67-49), but Kansas should have them. With Kansas (20-5) healthy and being a very well rounded team, KSU (17-7) will have their hands full tonight. Lucky for them they will have a home crowd helping them out. KSU has only lost three times at home this season, however I just don't think playing at home will be enough to pull it out. This probably won't be a runaway for Kansas, but Kansas looks good to me. Good luck tonight.

Picks for tomorrow in progress

February 12th Picks

Pick #1 Memphis Grizzlies

   
        Memphis at home. That would be the main reason. The other reason would be the Jazz's 2-7 road record. Memphis (14-13) is 9-4 at home so far this season, hosting Utah (13-12). The Jazz have a pretty good offense (10th in points, 15th in assists), however I think the Grizzlies defense should counter pretty well with a defense allowing 91.7 points a game (8th in NBA). These teams match up pretty well overall,  however, Utah has been cold so far this month. Winning just 1 out of their last 6 games, and losing their last three games going into Memphis. Memphis hasn't exactly been hot lately, but they certainly havn't been cold either. They are 3-3 so far for February, not to mention winning thier last two home games on Wednesday and Friday to the Timberwolves and the Pacers.
         I don't usually look at odds for games on SFTC, however Memphis is a 6.5 point favorite, so oddsmakers seem to like them as well. Memphis looks pretty good to me right now with them performing well at home, and Utah performing poorly on the road. Good luck whatever you do.

February 9th Picks will be up tomorrow

I wasn't able to post for today (2/8/12)

February 7th Picks

 Pick #1 Maryland Terps


        The reason it would be hard for me to go against Maryland (13-9), is because these two teams match up so evenly. Plus, Maryland has a 10-point cushion. On paper, Maryland (on average per game) ranks 148th in points, 80th in rebounds, 320th in assists, and 191st in field goal percent. For Clemson (11-11) (all per game average), they rank 239th in points, 240th in rebounds, 183rd in assists, and 198th in field goal percent. Aside from Clemson's edge in assists, the Terps look pretty good as a pick with 10-point cushion. Good luck whatever you do.

     


 Pick #2 Oklahoma City Thunder (yes I'm a sheep today)

       This one may have the potential of being a trap with the Thunder (19-5) playing their 3rd road game in just four days. However, after beating an impressive home team like Portland, the Thunder should be very capable of pulling out a win in the Golden State. Last night I actually went with Portland because of their 11-1 home record (now 11-2) at the time. The Warriors (8-13) are significantly better at home (6-7) then away (2-6). However they don't quite compare to Portland. Another thing to note; 4 of the Thunder's 5 losses have been on the road. So obviously (as any team) Oklahoma City isn't quite as comfortable on the road. Oklahoma City's potential fatigue could really be a pain if you plan on picking them. The Thunder's fatigue, countered by the Warriors home-court mediocrity, makes for an excellent Streak for the Cash pick. Good luck either way, my bias says the slight edge should go to the Thunder.

Good luck to everyone and I hope this info helps.