November 1st Picks

Pick #1 Arsenal win

  Arsenal looks good. They've already beaten Marseille on the road in a 1-0 win on October 19th and they have looked significantly better at home. At home, they are 2-0 in the champions league, and 8-0-1 overall (at home). Arsenal's total record stands at 5-1-4, -1 goal difference and 16 goals. Marseille goes into this game 3-6-3 with 1 goal difference and 15 goals this season. They are 1-3-3 on the road from what I've seen. Arsenal to me looks good not great. I think they are pretty likely to win...

*UPDATE: Arsenal has a few players out. Aside frome some injuries I've heard they may bench a couple players as well. I'm trying to find the details (if there are any) but here is a link to thier injury report http://www.arsenal.com/team-news

I still think Arsenal is the pick, but I dont think a draw is out of the question.

Confidence Rating: 70%

Pick #2 Vancouver Canucks

I don’t feel great about this game, but I did say I would post more. The Canucks have looked less than average on the road (2-3), the Flames have looked less than spectacular at home (2-3). Vancouver has looked a bit better on paper, and ranks a little higher in goals per game, power play and penalty kills. Vancouver in general has dominated Calgary in their last 10 games (8-0-2), and has played a tougher schedule in my opinion. Knocking off teams like Washington recently, and maybe most impressively Edmonton on the road. Vancouver is favored for a reason and I think everything above contributes to that conclusion. It will be close, but I would pick the Canucks to win by 1.

Confidence rating 60%

Thats probably all for today. Nothing else I like a lot. More tonight for November 2nd.

Last Post of the Month/blog will be back October 31st, October record 32-22 (108-41 overall)

   Its that time of the month again. I really hate to end the blog for October on such a low note, but I'm not aware of any good streaks of my followers. So traffic is pretty low right now, and I don't think there is really a point. It was a rough month seemingly for most people. Last I checked, the leader was only at a W21. Not trying to discredit anyone or anything, because that is a great streak, its just a little lower than it has has been the last 5 or 6 months, considering its near the end of the month. With Torino choking to Gubbio today, this blog finished 32-22 for October, which is hardly spectacular compared to August (45-10) and Septeber (31-9). I had more losses this month than the other two combined. This has probably been the worst month this year for me on a personal note as well. I did manage a W9, but with an October record of 38-27 (EDIT* 41-28 to end the month), it doesn't get you far.

   Hopefully next month will be a lot more successful. Enjoy your next few days off, and may you be free of Streak for the Cash controlling your life. Until November 1st that is...

Thanks for following, be sure to check back November 1st for a fresh set of picks, as well as a fresh month.

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Overall record (August through October) - 108-41


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October 24th Picks

October 23rd Pick results:


Cleveland Browns- Win (6-3)
Steelers: Winning Margin or Tie- Win (12-4)
Green Bay wins by double digits- Loss (won by 6)


Record for day 2-1
Record for month 32-21

I will have more picks up tomorrow, but here is one I like right now.

Pick #1 Torino win

   That is, I think I like Torino to win. Oddly, even with Torino at the very top of their table, and Gubbio at the very bottom, Torino still isn't as heavily favored as you think. I'm really not sure why right now, I havn't really seen anything significant with Torino as far as injuries or suspentions go with their squad. If most everybody gets played, they should be perfectly fine in this match. Maybe I'm just overthinking, but either way I like Torino. Torino is 8-2-0 right now with a 10 goal difference and has scored 26 goals in just 10 games. Gubbio is on the other end of the spectrum, with a 1-4-5 record, -11 goal difference and just 7 goals. I just dont see what there is to dislike. Other than the fact that its on Streak for the Cash, so it will probably be close (Just kidding. I hope...). Typically games that have a home team with a draw option are pretty close, but I just cant go against a pick that features the best against the worst. This is like David and Goliath, except David seems to be tied to a chair. I think Torino will probably pull it off.

October 23rd Picks

October 22nd Results:


West Brom win or draw- Win (won 2-1)
Auburn vs. LSU AOR- Loss (LSU won 45-10)
Texas A&M winning margin- Loss (by one point, won 33-17, winning margin was 16 but needed 17)
USC win or single digit loss- Win (31-17)
36 yards or more (longest td of 2nd half)- Win (58 yards)

Record for day 3-2

Blog record for month 30-20

Sorry I never wrote anything up for USC or 36 yards or more. I just never got around to it. I have a few today I will get up with pretty short writeups. I'm going to take it easy today.

Pick #1 Cleveland Browns

This one goes up just for the sake of a noon pick. With the Browns at home though, I think they should take this. A note for both teams; Seahawks QB Tavaris Jackson is probable, as well as RB Peyton Hillis from Cleveland.

Pick #2 Steelers Winning Margin or tie

  The only reason I'm putting this up is because as far as yards allowed, the Steelers rank 1st in the NFL only giving up about 157 passing yards a game. Obviously the Steelers have a great pass defense, so will it be enough to hold Fitzgerald? Maybe. The other concern is whether the Steelers can even win. The Steelers are 4-2, with a very impressive 38-17 win over the Titans back on October 9th. The Cardinals have not won since their season opener against the struggling Carolina Panthers. Fitzgerald is averaging about 5 catches a game. I'm not sure what that means going against a pass defense like the Steelers, but logic says he will probably get about 5 tops, unless they throw it to him most of the game. if the Steelers can win by at least a touchdown I think they will be fine. One thing that concerns me, is the NFL's tendancy to have such close games no matter who is playing. I think the best odds go to Pittsburg though.

Pick #3 Green Bay Packers win by double digits

  Packers are hot right now. Sitting at 6-0 and going up against a bad pass defense, I think they should win by double digits. Also, the Vikings have struggled big time in their passing game. Only averaging about 168 yards a game through the air. AP is about all they have, and that may be all the Packers need to worry about.

More to come...

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October 22nd Picks

Pick #1 West Brom win or draw

   West Brom will go into this game 2-2-4 with a -3 goal difference and 9 goals this season. Villa is 2-5-1 with 1 goal difference and 10 goals. Villa's team is a draw machine. So far at home this season, they are 2-2-0, with thier only 2 home wins coming to Blackburn and Wigan; the two worst team in their league. West Brom is a lot better than either team (Wigan and Blackburn). I just don't see how this is so one-sided on Villa's part with the pickers. It just rose from the 80s % to the 90s %. Should be pretty 50/50, but I have been hurt pretty bad by the draw option lately on Streak for the Cash, so I have to take West Brom for a draw. Should end a draw or maybe a one point Villa win. West Brom is my pick.

Pick #2 #20 Auburn Tigers vs #1 LSU Tigers; Any Other Result

  Auburn is still a pretty good football team even after losing key players from last year. Even with them going into a hostile enviroment like LSU's Tiger Stadiun, I really think Auburn can keep it within 20. True they lost by 24 a couple weeks ago on the road to then ranked #10 Arkansas, but check the week before. They beat then-ranked #10 South Carolina 16-13, giving the Gamecocks their only loss this season. Plus, LSU is without leading rusher Spencer Ware and defensive star Tyrann Mathieu due to suspentions. LSU and Auburn is also a pretty big rivalry. I don't think Auburn wants to embarrass themselves on national tv. Rivalries tend to be close. I think LSU wins by about 14.

Pick #3 Texas A&M winning margin

   Iowa State has lost to Texas, Baylor and Missouri by a combined scored of 138-57. Texas A&M (4-1, 2-1 in Big 12), has lost to Oklahama State by 1 point (30-29) and a last touchdown loss to Arkansas 42-38. Texas A&M is a high scoring team, and Iowa State ranks 116th out of 120 teams in points allowed. Texas A&M should be ok.

Pick #4 USC win or single digit loss

Pick #5 36 yards or more

More Coming...

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