September 16th Picks

September 15th pick result

LSU- Won 19-6

Record for day 1-0
Record for the month 21-4

Possible Pick #1 Dynamo Dresden W/D

   Ingolstadt is just an aweful team. However, at home they tend to play pretty well. Ingolstadt is 1-2-4 so far this year, and has scored just 5 goals with a -9 goal difference. Dynamo, going on the road, is 2-1-4 scored 7 goals and has a -1 goal difference. Dynamo isn't a whole lot better, but Dynamo's defense and draw option are what should give them an advantage. I do not think homefeild advantage will be enough for Ingolstadt to pull out a win, so a draw to me seems like the most appropriate outcome between these two teams.

Possible pick #2 Boston

  With Beckett pitching they should stand a pretty good chance. I expect a close game since Sheilds will be pitching for Tampa (sorry such a plain writeup).

Possible Pick #3 Arizona Diamondbacks

   Wade Miley hasn't played enough games to impress me whole lot, but from his 4 starts he looks like a pretty decent pitcher. Posting a 4.5 ERA, 3-1 record, 19 strikeouts, 1.75 WHIP. He helped lead Arizona to a 6-5 win in his last start at home. The Padres will start Tim Stauffer who has been pretty impressive despite his 8-12 record. He has posted a 3.87 ERA, 122 strikeouts, 1.28 WHIP this season.

Honestly,  I would stay away from this one and the Boston game unless you are desperate for a win. I'm not adding those 2 games to my record. Dynamo however, I was sadly mistaken.

 Tomorrow I will have a lot up. I have a lot to write about thanks to college football. It will have much more information and more detail than today.

September 15th LSU vs. Miss State Pick Overview

September 14th pick results

LA Angels- Won 4-1
4 pitches or more- Won (11 pitches)

Record for day 2-0
Record for month 22-4

This will be my only writeup for tomorrow more than likely...

Pick #1 LSU

   LSU goes into Mississippi State's revived hostile environment tomorrow night. Taking with them a 2-0 record that includes an impressive 40-27 win aginst then-ranked #3 Oregon. LSU will play once again without quarterback Jordan Jefferson and reciever Russell Sheppard. So far it hasn't been a major problem. LSU Senior quarterback Jarett Lee has proven to be a simple yet, effective quarterback. He has certainly gotten the job done for LSU over the last couple of weeks. However, LSU's offense as a whole has been pretty average at best overall and very poor for a top 5 team. Ranking 89th in total yards, 101st in passing and 40th in rushing, LSU's defense will have to continue to step it up. I think they can. Though giving up 27 points to Oregon, you have to remember, it's Oregon. Oregon had an increadibly high powered offense last season and already ranks 9th this season in scoring after beating Nevada 69-20. With the return of Darren Thomas and LaMichael James, you have to assume they will have similar results this season more or less. Oregon has a better offense than Mississippi State, and I think LSU can contain things pretty well tomorrow night.

  Mississippi State has just 5 days to prepare after a heartbreaking loss to a struggling Auburn team. Auburn nearly lost to Utah State a week before hosting the Bulldogs. If the Bulldogs can't beat a struggling (but pretty good) Auburn team, I don't see them pulling off a win against and LSU team that handled Oregon very well. I'm not saying Mississippi State doesn't have a shot, but with such a devastating loss so recently, I think the Bulldogs passion will be a little down. Or it may have the opposite affect. Possibly it will be what fuels the fire playing rival LSU to show the nation they are more than a top 25 team. Either way, I like my chances with LSU overall. Even if they lose, I'll let my streak go down with them.

September 14th Picks

September 13th pick results:

Texas Rangers- Won 10-4
Kansas City Royals- Won 4-0
Arizona Diamondbacks- Won 5-4

Record for the day 3-0
Record for month 20-4

 I really caught a break yesterday with Arizona. Great ending to a great game.


 I don't really have a lot of time to go into a lot of detail today, but I do see a couple of picks I like...

Pick #1 LA Angels

 The Angels will start Jared Weaver on the mound today. Arguably the best pitcher on the Angels, he is already 3-0 this season against the A's. Posting a 2.44 ERA, 16-7 record, 187 so, 1.01 WHIP in 23 starts. With batting being pretty equal for both teams, I think Weaver will be the difference. The Angels may only need a few runs to win.

 Oakland will start Rich Harden, who helped the A's defeat the Angels 4-3 back in July. Posting a 5.00 ERA and giving up 4 hits. 2 of which were homeruns.

Possible Pick #1 4 pitches or more

  I feel like these are usually the most upredictable. However, It seems most everytime this prop has been up, it has been about 3 or 4 pitches. Depending on who gets the start, you may want to go 4 or more. If Jeter starts though, I would probably stay away or possibly go 3 or less.

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September 13th Picks

Newcastle- Won (ended as a 0-0 draw)
Tampa Bay Rays- Won 5-2
Arizona Diamondbacks- Won 7-2

Record for day- 3-0
Record for month- 17-4

Alright. I finally have some free time and I can explain the theory/reasons for my pick projections.

Be sure to comment on my posts on the picks I put up. I love hearing your feedback and discussions.



Pick #1 Arizona Diamondbacks

 It is a little hard to pick against Arizona's Ian Kennedy. Kennedy has been 19-4 this season posting a 2.90 ERA, 178 strikeouts and 1.11 WHIP. His record speaks for itself. He has been a solid pitcher this year. In fact, he has already helped the Diamondbacks defeat the Dodgers 3 times this season (4-3 [3.20 ERA], 3-2 [3.39 ERA], 4-1 [3.05 ERA]). What scares me a little though is how close the last 2 were.

  The Dodgers will place Chad Billingsley (4.30 ERA, 10-10 record, 142 so, 1.47 WHIP) on the mound, who is 1-2 against the Diamondbacks this season. Billingsley has been to inconsistent for comfort this season. Pitching one game only giving up 2 or 3 hits, and then the next game give up 10-13 hits (a couple times against the same team).

  I will put a little more up on this game tomorrow. More than likely I will pick this game.



Possible Pick #1 Texas Rangers (pending)

Possible Pick #2 Kansas City Royals

   I'm not really a huge fan of this pick. However, with Streakmaster taking down the Boston pick, I wanted to post something to make up for it. Just to make this post a little fuller. Here's a post on a game I got from an odds site. Usually I dont like their picks a whole lot, but this is just for the occasion...

    I definetely wouldn't risk a decent streak on this. but it might be a good pick for a streak of 3 or less.

  "The Royals look to finally escape the basement in the AL Central, as Minnesota has taken up residence there this season. They have gotten a lot of mileage out of retread starter Bruce Chen. Chen has roamed baseball, finding a temporary home with 10 different teams along the way, but with very little success. He had just one season where he posted 10 wins or more, but in his last two seasons with Kansas City, he has reached the 10 win mark in both of them. Carl Pavano reached the majors in 1999, and has had two good seasons, but otherwise has been below average. Pavano was 35-19 in his two best years, but just 64-72 in all other years. This year his 4.52 ERA is in line with what he has been for the most part. The Twins have been no-shows vs. teams with a losing record posting a 1-10 mark in their last 11 against them, and they are just 3-13 in their last 16 series openers. Rejuvenated Chen has led the Royals to a 10-3 mark in his last 13 starts. Play on Kansas City."

September 12th Picks

Today I have a few picks I like from a glance. I'll try to get a writup on them tomorrow. Today I didn't feel good about writing anything. NFL props are sketchy right now as we saw today. It will be a couple more weels before we even start to know where everyone is at. The baseball props were about the same as well. However, in the end I did take "no homerun in innings 4-6" at the last minute. Luckily it payed off.

Possible Pick #1 Newcastle United-

     Sorry this is such late notice, but I am changing this to a "possible pick". On paper Newcastle is the obvious choice, but QPR recenlty received some prettty notable players, while Newcastle will be without a few thanks to the flu. This one will be much closer than expected I believe.

Possible Pick #2 Tampa Bay Rays- (post pending)

Possible Pick #3 Arizona Diamondbacks (post pending)