September 10th Picks

 Sorry there hasn't been a post in a couple days. Here are a few I like tomorrow...

Pick #1 #8 Wisconsin: Winning Margin-

   Oregon State does not have a lot going into this game. Judging from last season's players gone, Wisconsin should blow them out by at least 20 or 30. Oregon State will also be without their starting freshman running back Malcolm Agnew, who ran for 223 yards and 3 touchdowns on 33 carries. Even with Agnew's numbers, they still lost last week to Sacramento State (who?) in overtime. Wisconsin is such a better team. The only way I can see this prop being bad for Wisconsin pickers, is if somehow Wisconsin's defense doesn't show up, and Oregon State bring their A-game (which probably isn't that great) and scored a few touchdowns. Oregon State just doesn't have the depth and personnel to match Wisconsin. I'm not sure they even have enough to win the the prop. Wisconsin for me.


Pick #2 South Carolina (NCAAF)-

   South Carolina looks to extend their record to 2-0 in Athens this weekend. 5th year Senior quarterback Stephen Garcia, won back his starting job after sharing playing time with South Carolina's sophomore quarterback Connor Shaw. South Carolina has looked strong since last season. Making it to their first SEC Championship game last year representing the SEC east, where they lost 56-17 to Auburn. South Carolina seems like they could be on the rise this season to be something special with some of what they have coming back. A very experienced quarterback in Stephen Garcia, who has been with the team since 2007. Marcus Lattimore, who just as a freshman last season, tore it up on the ground with 1,197 yards on 249 carries and 17 touchdowns. Last year's leading reciever for South Carolina Alshon Jeffery (junior), who racked up 1,517 yards and 9 touchdowns off of 88 catches. Overall South Carolina has 13 returning starters (7 offense, 6 defense).

   Georgia looks to rebound after a disappointing 35-21 loss against 5th ranked Boise State. Georgia, more specifically, Georgia head coach Mark Richt needs a win. Richt has been on the hot seat for the last couple years. Since coaching a Georgia team predicted to be a national championship contender in 2008 who came well short of the expected goal, Mark Richt has felt the seat becoming warmer season by season. South Carolina would be a huge win. It would raise eyebrows across the nation and put a lot of faith in the University of Georgia organization and football team. As well has buy Richt more time to prove to the Bulldog nation he still has the ability to to get Georgia reconized by the BCS.

   With everything above said, Georgia isn't impossibly outmatched. Some of Georgia's circumstances give them some advantages that might make it possible. Homefeild advantage for one. I have always thought homefield advantage was one the most overrated advantages to any team of any sport. However, in college football (especially SEC football) homefeild advantage can be huge. Georgia will also start Aaron Murray who posted some pretty good numbers last season (3,049, 61.8% completion, 24 TD, 8 INT). Georgia's backfeild will see a new face in highly touted #1 running back recruit Isaiah Crowell. Who ran for 60 yards on 15 carries agaist Boise State last week.

    Its hard to say how much better Boise State is (or isn't) compared to South Carolina, but either way South Carolina is significantly better than Georgia from what I can judge. Its hard to say where everyone in college football is right now, but South Carolina seems to be ok for the most part and Georgia seems to need a bit of tweaking within the next couple of weeks. South Carolina by 10 (31-21).

Possibe Pick #1 Chelsea- (Post pending) sorry I never got this post up. Overslepted.

Possible Pick #2 Michigan

   Michigan (1-0) will host rival Notre Dame (0-1) tonight at the Big House, for the first night game in their stadium's history. Michigan opened their season with a 34-10 win over Western Michigan last weekend. Denard Robinson only threw for 98 yards and no TDs in that game. He did however manage 46 yards on just 8 carries (5.8 yds average) contributing to Michigan's 190 total yards. Denard Robinson was pretty quiet last week, both running and especially passing the ball. Michigan's offensive success came mainly from Michigan's dual running game in running backs Fitzgerald Toussaint (11 carries, 80 yards, 2 touchdowns) and Michael Shaw (4 carries, 54 yards, 1 touchdown).

   Notre Dame lost their opener 20-23 against South Florida at home. Notre Dame really needs to get it together for Michigan tonight. They didn't win at home, and they are about to enter a stadium on the road  that holds as many as 114,000+ fans. If Notre Dame can stop the run tonight and contain Denard Robinson, I think they will be in pretty good shape. Tommy Rees will also have to show up and post some good numbers in the passing game to take pressure off the defense and create scoring opportunities.

   Overall I like Michigan. Homefield advantage will be huge here and Denard Robinson will have an opportunity to show the nation he can still perform as he did early last season. Michigan by 7 (24-17).

More to come... the South Carolina pick I wanted to put some depth into.

I almost forgot to review my picks from September 7th.

Giants- loss 1-3
No, no run scored in the 3rd- Won

Record for day 1-1
Record for month 10-4

I skipped the Giants and went with no run scored in the 3rd.

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Blog won't be updated till Tomorrow night

 This blog won't be updated until tomorrow night. I have had a lot going on and I havn't seen any good picks I like lately. If I see something I like tonight for Friday I will update my blog. I havn't really had a lot of time to update this blog and research picks very well. So I will wait till tomorrow to write for Saturday's (9/10/11) picks. College football is a lot easier to write about. No picks I like today besides Greece and maybe the Phillies. Nothing worth writing or risking a streak on to me.

September 7th Picks

September 6th "Possible pick" results

China- loss 2-1
Texas- Won 8-0

Record for day 1-1
Overall record for month 8-3

     I have to say, this has been one of the driest months I have played in a while on SFTC. Streakmaster has put up some pretty difficult props. I havn't even put up a single sure pick in the last couple of days and I have yet to risk my measly W4 on anything. I may be taking such a low streak to seriously, but there has just been nothing I have felt very good about. I havn't made a pick in 2 days! I really missed out on Texas yesterday though. I told myself I would pick them no matter what, but got cold feet within the last 30 minutes before the game.

     Also I just have to apologize for how little I have been able to put into this blog the last few days. This blog hasn't looked near as it did at the start of last month. Work has really picked up and I have had so little time to squeeze in writeups. I am going to try to work out a schedule to where I can make posts at a consistant hour of the day.

Moving on to the picks...

Another day of iffy picks. Here is what I have so far.

Possible Pick #1 San Francisco Giants

    Cain (2.85 ERA, 11-9, 157 strikeouts, 1.07 whip) is a good pitcher. Plain and simple. However he has struggled a bit against the Padres (1-2 against them this season). The Padres just look horrible right now though, I cant really find a great reason to pick them. They will be starting Aaron Harang (3.86 ERA, 12-5, 109 so, 1.41 whip) today against the Giants, who struggled against the Giants last time he played. Both pitchers have struggled to get wins in each of their last 10 games (Cain 4-6 , and Harang 5-5). Both teams are horrible at batting ranking near the bottom of the MLB. So why do the Giants have the advantage? Their bullpen and the fact that they have been hitting like a team ranked in the top 20th for batting. Pretty weak I know, but when you look at how much the Padres have been struggling lately, and how slightly improved the Giants have been, San Francisco is to me the best choice. I just have no reason to go with the Padres in this one (not to mention their 29-42 home record).

Possible pick #2 No run scored in the 3rd

More to come and I pan on getting this site back to where it was a month ago. I have just not had as much free time

September 6th Picks

September 5 pick results

Peru W/D- Won (drew 1-1)

USA Nationality of tournament winner- Won

Arizona Diamondbacks- Won 10-7

Record for day 3-0

Record for month 7-2

I will have to get September 6th's picks up tomorrow sometime. Today was just to hard to get to it and I am busy tomorrow morning. In the meantime I have to say China looks like a pretty good pick at a glance.

Possible Pick #1- China

  China (8-2-1) will play Jordan (4-2-1) today. The percents are extremely skewed if you ask me. From what I saw last night, I thought China was a pick that was to good to be true. Turns out it probably is, sadly. With this being an international friendly, it can really be hard to pin-point exactly what is most likely going to happen. I think most people are picking China mainly based on their record. However, Jordan has one of their best teams they have had in years. This game will more than likely be a draw, but Jordan will definitely have a great shot at winning by a point. I say China, but dont be shocked if Jordan wins. I wish I could go into more detail on this game, but I have to be somewhere right now and can't go much further. You get the idea of the pick though.

Possible Pick #2 Texas Rangers

   Texas (80-62, 36-34 away) will head into Tampa Bay, where the Rays (77-63, 38-32 home) will host Texas. C.J. Wilson (3.28 ERA, 14-6, 173 so, 1.20 whip) will look to help Texas rebound from last night's 5-1 loss in the series opener. Wilson is 2-0 this season against the Rays recording a combined 4.08 ERA. Also he has made 13 relief appearances against the Rays.

   Tampa Bay will start Jeff Niemann (3.69 ERA, 9-6, 91 so, 1.20 whip) who lost to Texas 2-7 in his last game pitched last Thursday. He gave up five runs and two homers in that game.

Texas' batting batting ranks (by far) this season; 3rd in runs, 2nd in batting average, 5th on base, 3rd in slugging percent

Tampa Bay's batting ranks (by far) this season; 14th in runs, 26th in batting average, 15th on base, 15th in slugging percent.

    Overall I think Texas is the best pick. Tampa is a good team and is very good at home, but I think with Wilson and the Ranger's batting they take this in a close one

More to come...


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September 5th Picks

September 3rd pick results

Pick #1 Minnesota; Total points or tie in 2nd half- Won (final score 19-17 USC)

Pick #2 LSU- Won 40-27

Record for day 2-0
Record for month 4-2

Fan request pick- AOR (OSU vs. Akron) Loss 42-0

LSU looked strong even without Jordan Jefferson (QB) and Russell Sheppard (WR). If they play like that all year, I could easily see them in the BCS National Championship game this season. Jarret Lee played pretty well Saturday night for the Tigers. Even with his relatively simple performance(s), he has still proven to be a very effective quarterback. Even against elite teams such as Oregon.

Minnesota was somewhat a shocker. Lane Kiffin loves to run up the score when he is winning, and score every point he can when he is losing. I mean, even in the sense of it being a completely meaningless touchdown or feild goal, he is just trying to make it a pretty loss as best as he can. So I have no doubt USC wasnt taking it easy as far as playcalls and coaching was concerned. Minnesota just showed up to play and came pretty close to winning.

Today I took Bubba Watson and should have had him up today on my blog. It was a solid pick to make. He had the tie option, but ended up scoring higher than Charl Swartzel. 

I think for future reference I will put up at least one pick if I decide to take a day off. 

I hope all of you are enjoying your labor day weekend and had a successful weekend of picking as well.

Here is what I have for tomorrow...

Pick #1 Peru win/draw

  I'm still trying to figure out why Peru has the draw option. Bolivia hasn't won in 14 games, and Peru is a pretty solid team. Last week these 2 teams drew in an international friendly. Peru may win.


Possible Pick #1 USA Nationality of Tournament winner (post pending)

Possible Pick #2 Arizona Diamondbacks

  Arizona will place Miley Cyru... I mean Wade Miley (3.94 ERA, 2-1 record, 12 SO, 1.75 WHIP) on the mound tomorrow for Arizona. Judging by previous records (his last game actually), he pitched pretty well against Colorado helping his team overcome the Rockies 9-4 (3.94 ERA, 0 hr). Colorado will start Esmil Rogers (5.94 ERA, 6-4 record, 53 SO, 1.79 WHIP), who suffered a 2-4 loss to Arizona last week (5.94 ERA, 1 hr). Arizona has performed well on the road this season. Arizona in a close one (I dont know why the pick % is so high for Arizona).

Much more tomorrow...


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